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NDP support holding strong across Alberta

That’s enough of a lead to form a majority government, say pollsters.

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The UCP would be gutted and Rachel Notley back as premier if an election were held today, an exclusive new poll done for the Western Standard shows.

The Mainstreet Research poll shows Notley’s NDP currently has the support of 41% of Albertans with Jason Kenney’s UCP well back at 25%

That’s enough of a lead to form a majority government, say pollsters.

Courtesy Mainstreet Research

The upstart Wildrose Independence Party collect 11% support in the new poll, with 5% siding with the Alberta Party, with the Liberals and Greens at 1% each. A total of 14% of voters were undecided.

Wildrose leader Paul Hinman polls best among people who are refusing to get vaccinated. When they were asked, 34% chose Wildrose, 29% for the UCP and only 2% for the NDP.

If the undecided are removed from the poll, the NDP checks in with 45%, the UCP with 29%, the WIP with 13% and the AP with 6%

In that poll, the NDP is also leading in Alberta’s two major cities. In Edmonton, the NDP has 62% support with the UCP at 21% In Calgary, the NDP leads with 48% support and the UCP at 31%.

Rural areas seem split. Northern rural areas favour Kenney 34% to 29% for Notley. Southern rural areas like Notley at 32% with Kenney at 29%.

Courtesy Mainstreet Research

“Things are looking pretty grim for Kenney,” said Mainstreet CEO and President Quito Maggi.

“It’s 18 months until the next election, and that can be an eternity, but numbers in this realm for the better part of a year, with no positive movement, shows the trouble he is in.”

Maggi said he was a little surprised by the lead of Notley in Calgary, normally a Conservative bastion.

“It speaks of the personal unpopularity of Jason Kenney himself. The policies of the NDP probably aren’t supported in Calgary but they are willing to vote for the candidate that will defeat Kenney,” he said.

Maggi noted Kenney is now getting it from both sides of the political spectrum and the WIP is taking enough to leave Notley with a majority victory. He predicted an NDP victory would only be by one or two seats.

The analysis in this report is based on the results of a survey conducted on October 12-13 2021 among a sample of 935 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Alberta. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (Smart IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in Alberta. 

The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.2% at the 95% confidence level. Mar- gins of error are higher in each subsample. 

Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding. 

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20 Comments

20 Comments

  1. Mike Heidt

    October 19, 2021 at 11:32 am

    If Alberta were to re-elect the NDP after their last performance that tells you all you need to know about what has become of the Alberta voter and how far out of touch with reality we have become up here. There are options for conservatives and libertarians. IE: Wildrose party. Are they perfect? No. but they are a damn site better than either the UCP or the NDP. They are the only party with an alternative view to the handling of Covid and the Federal government. The NDP and UCP are basically reading the same playbook when it comes to those two issues.

  2. Claudette Leece

    October 19, 2021 at 7:22 am

    Deanne AHS has been a disaster for years, staff shortages and bed issues haunted them, since I started my first day. There always run by incompetant people and way too many managers, who don’t earn there fat wages. Ask any honest AHS employee. YU has been one of the worst , also what do they do, give her another 3 yrs to kill what’s left of that incompetant organization.

  3. Claudette Leece

    October 19, 2021 at 7:18 am

    Polls, they lie as much as politicians. Thinking Alberta needs to get rid of its two cities, they breed or import lefties there. If UCP would dump Kenney , they would get many back, they hate him and nothing he could do until next election will change that. And the PPC might come on strong in next election, they already screwed the conservatives in the federal election. It’s along way off and who knows what happens but majority of pollls are run by the left so never trust them.

  4. Proudly_Free

    October 18, 2021 at 10:28 am

    This is a really small poll so it’s hard to tell anything credible from it. Somebody needs to conduct a real poll with several thousand participants or even in the 10,000+ range. Then we’d have some real, credible data to work with.

    There is a chance that these results could also change drastically if Kenney were to step down ASAP. He’s utterly failed, is not a leader in any sense of the word but a total ZERO (opposite of hero) LOSER. I think the reason so many Albertans are willing to vote for Nutface Notley is simply to vote out Kenney. However, the thought of an independence party like WIPA still scares them as they’re unwilling to do what I think is necessary and leave Canada. As I’ve said before on this platform, the Wicked Bitch of Alberta has already been governing this province through proxy the last 2 1/2 years anyway.

    At least I hope the reason is this benign; a more sinister reason is that Covidstan, Inc. has successfully brainwashed the overwhelming majority of this province into radical leftist obedient marxist sheep who aren’t just voting out the fake right but want the left back in.

  5. Liane Boeckx

    October 18, 2021 at 8:27 am

    As long as DOMINION TABULATORS continue to be used, no one should be surprised about any statistics.🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️My goodness fellow Albertans how damn naive can we be?

  6. Andrew A

    October 18, 2021 at 7:32 am

    Notley is already de-facto Premier. Kennedy says one thing, Notley says another. Notley’s statements become policy. The pollsters are just recognizing the Useless Conservative Party for what it is.

  7. Proud Albertan

    October 17, 2021 at 6:40 pm

    Well another NDP gov will finish off AB as we know it… these marxists will vax you and your kids and send you to jail if you don’t comply… Jason Kenny has been thrown under the bus by NDP strong unions and AHS … this was the plan… Jason Kenney was naive to think the NDP were going to go hide…

  8. Non-Compliant Alberta Separatist

    October 17, 2021 at 3:48 pm

    I suggest that people who are considering voting for NDP need to read the book “The Destroyers: Rachel Notley and the NDP’s War on Alberta” available on Amazon.ca for < $10

    It clearly lays out why voting NDP back into power is the worst possible future for Alberta.

    NDP, Notley her "shadow government" of the public sector and unions in Alberta are the reason why Alberta's problems are occurring. They are sabotaging Alberta as much as Jason Kenney is.

    I am not a fan of the UDP with weak MP's, and the idiot sellout Jason Kenney either.

    The Independence parties would better serve Alberta's needs.

  9. Dennis

    October 17, 2021 at 12:24 pm

    If this poll is even close to accurate, it tells me that Albertans are every bit as stupid and the 905 bunch that re-elected Trudeau.

  10. David

    October 17, 2021 at 8:53 am

    This poll is as depressing as they come.

    Albertans need to be told the truth, that switching from one establishment party to another will not restore liberty and prosperity.

    Hinman needs to make weekly appearances on radio and podcast and focus on those two issues: Freedom & Prosperity. We won’t have either after the next election if either of those federalist sellouts win.

  11. Seven-Zero-One

    October 16, 2021 at 11:26 pm

    2023 NDP wins. I am off to Texas🇺🇲. I am not staying to pay ” Socialist taxes”

  12. Kieran

    October 16, 2021 at 10:56 pm

    So is this about parties or leaders? Kenney or UCP? What question did pollster ask exactly? So poor wording in the article, sorry.

  13. Westcanguy

    October 16, 2021 at 9:52 pm

    Guess what? The election isn’t for 2 more years so who cares what a poll says right now?

  14. K

    October 16, 2021 at 9:44 pm

    Who even cares at this point. Besides WIPA, they are all communist, NWO scum. I say, show these idiots their Marxist utopia. Cripple the economy. Destroy the crops. Snitch on your neighbours. What else is going to wake these fools up?

    (Note: I am voting WIPA)

  15. Deane Clark

    October 16, 2021 at 6:56 pm

    Be careful what you ask for. Jumping from the frying pan into the fire. NDP would do worse handling AHS and COVID. What is needed is leadership out of AHS that will change direction, get qualified epidemiologists on board, stop mass vaccinations, and shift to early treatment and educating and incentivizing health. And free up doctors to practice the art of medicine. There are plenty of early home treatment plans proven to work that keep folks out of hospitals if started early. We don’t need new leaders, but correct science and proper medical accountability for AHS’s actions, until now not given to the public when the world has access to reasoned medical literature. This is why AHS isn’t trustworthy. They dont/cant back up their reasoning.

  16. berta baby

    October 16, 2021 at 3:27 pm

    How does kenney have this many supporters. I calll Bas

  17. Stew James

    October 16, 2021 at 3:00 pm

    All I can say is, there is a lot of really fucked up people in this province, 41% for NDP! These stupid sons of bitches need a good hard one right up side of the head!
    I’m just totally disgusted by these idiots!
    I can’t say how fucking angry I am at this!

  18. John Lankers

    October 16, 2021 at 1:19 pm

    The strong NDP support in Calgary is no surprise considering that most people living there didn’t even grow up on Alberta.

  19. Chad Eden

    October 16, 2021 at 12:21 pm

    Don’t be stupid alberta. We had a NDP government look what they did to this once great province. If you think things are bad now under Kenny just let Nutley in again. I am just as mad a Kenny too. The man needs to step down if he wants to save his party.

  20. Left Coast

    October 16, 2021 at 12:16 pm

    41% of Albertans are really this friggin stoooopid?

    It’s a clear case of Jumping out of the Frying Pan and into the FIRE!

    The marxist NDP has crashed the BC Economy TWICE, in the 70s, again in the 90s and are in the process of doing it again NOW. In 2003 BC was the Highest Taxed Province in Canada . . . but how quickly dumb Canooks forget . . .

    Nationally almost 60% of Canooks vote for the far-left parties . . . this is why I have said for years Canada is over and becoming a failed state.

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Sask Polytech ditches vax policy but burdens unvaxxed with testing costs

The Justice Centre is unsatisfied with the response of Sask Polytech and reiterated its intention to pursue legal action against the institution and against the University of Saskatchewan over its requirement for staff and students to be vaccinated for COVID-19.

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By LEE HARDING

The Justice Centre for Constitutional Freedoms is unsatisfied with the decision of Saskatchewan Polytech to reverse its vaccination requirement for staff and students because the institute does not recognize natural immunity and imposes testing costs on the unvaccinated.

On November 19, the Justice Centre sent Sask Polytech and the University of Saskatchewan letters demanding they reverse their requirement that all staff and students be vaccinated by January 1, 2022. 

On December 1, Sask Polytech reversed its “vaccinated only” policy but now requires unvaccinated staff and students to comply with testing three times a week at their own expense. In a press release, the Justice Centre called this “unacceptable.”

“Such testing requirements for students are even greater than the Saskatchewan government’s requirements for employees of its ministries. Sask Poly has also failed to recognize the compelling scientific evidence of natural immunity for those who have already recovered from Covid-19 and have proof of antibodies,” reads a JCCF press release on Saturday.

“Testing costs, which could exceed $200 per week, mean that only the wealthy and privileged can bear the burden,” stated Andre Memauri, the Justice Centre’s Saskatoon-based lawyer.

“Sask Poly, which has chosen to impose discriminatory testing requirements for staff and students, has the ability to acquire these tests at wholesale cost.”

The Justice Centre said it would commence legal proceedings against Sask Poly in the Court of Queen’s Bench unless Sask Poly immediately absorbs the testing costs and recognizes natural immunity. 

On October 28, the U of S and Sask Polytech announced mandatory vaccinations for all students, staff and faculty, removing the alternative of twice weekly testing which had been in place since the start of the school year. The Justice Centre will also commence legal action against the U of S for refusing unvaccinated students. 

On November 26, Global News reported a 19-year-old student was hospitalized briefly with breathing problems after receiving the Johnson and Johnson vaccine. The student’s mother, Michelle Marciniuk, publicly called for the university to reconsider its policy.

The U of S’ policy includes exemptions on medical and religious grounds in accordance with the Saskatchewan Human Rights Code. But according to the Justice Centre, the university usually rejects exemption requests or does not respond to them for several weeks. Besides this, the university has made itself the arbiter of faith considerations for religious exemptions. Medical exemptions have become a difficult document for patients to receive in Canada, due to regulatory pressure on physicians not to provide them based on their medical judgement except in very rare circumstances.

The U of S crowns itself for academic freedom, diversity, equality, human dignity and a healthy work and learning environment, yet it has harshly terminated faculty for speaking on the hallmark principle of informed consent for Covid-19 vaccination of children,” stated Andre Memauri, a U of S alum. 

“Now, the U of S seeks to exclude and villainize those who decide for various reasons not to be vaccinated…Without question, our community has been through a great deal of difficulty and it requires these institutions to lead as vessels of science not ideology…The Justice Centre demands both schools follow the science and adopt policies that bring students together in the most safe and lawful manner.”

The letters sent to both schools from the Justice Centre on November 19 warned that the schools are seeking to deprive students from education on the basis of vaccination status, contrary to Article 26 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and Sections 2(a), 7, and 15 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

Harding is a Western Standard contributor based in Saskatchewan

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CRA wants more tax filers to file online

The government’s own research shows millions of paper filers resist change.

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The taxman is angry that too many Canadians are still filing by mail, says Blacklock’s Reporter.

The government’s own research shows millions of paper filers resist change.

“Those who submit their taxes by mail most often say they use paper rather than filing electronically because it is simply how they prefer to do it, e.g. they do it out of habit, because ‘it’s what they are comfortable with,’ they like it, etcetera,” said a Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) report.

“Just 13% cite security issues.”

Data show of 30.5 million tax returns filed this year a total 2.7 million or 9% were filed on paper. Millions of taxpayers, a total 4,234,772 including Internet filers, demanded refunds be paid by mailed cheque instead of direct deposit.

The CRA complained it would be “more timely and efficient” if all taxpayers used the Internet. The Agency spends $6.9 million annually mailing T1 general tax forms alone.

“There is still a sizable proportion of taxpayers who are conducting their business with the Canada Revenue Agency through paper rather than taking advantage of digital services which are much more timely and efficient,” said the report.

Research showed typical paper filers were working age men under 55 who completed their own return without a tax preparer, had a university degree, earned more than $80,000 a year and were more likely than other Canadians to prefer in-person teller service rather than online banking.

“The most important factor influencing why respondents file by paper instead of online is disinterest,” wrote researchers, who added: “Apathy is a barrier. Fifty percent of likely switchers say they are simply not interested in switching. Therefore the agency will have to demonstrate the value of switching.”

Findings were based on questionnaires with 2,000 taxpayers who filed returns by mail. The Agency paid Earnscliffe Strategy Group $130,061 for the survey.

The research follows a failed 2012 campaign to have all Canadians use direct deposit for payment of tax refunds and benefit cheques. The attempt by the Receiver General of Canada, the federal office responsible for processing payments, was intended to save costs. Paper cheques cost 82¢ apiece to process compared to 13¢ for electronic transfers, by official estimate.

An estimated 13% of taxpayers refused to surrender bank account information to the Receiver General. “Cheque recipients have become harder to engage,” said a 2020 Department of Public Works survey.

“A few have a general distrust of the Government of Canada’s ability to protect data,” wrote researchers. A total 23 percent of Atlantic residents said they wouldn’t rely on the government to protect their privacy, followed by 22% in Saskatchewan and Manitoba, 21% in Ontario, 19% in Alberta, 18% in BC and 12% in Québec.

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WATCH: Alberta Oil drives Guilbeault to meeting with Nixon

Federal Environment Minister Stephen Guilbeault’s tour of Alberta has already kicked off with a whiff of hypocrisy.

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Attended by a sizable entourage, Guilbeault exited his black gasoline-powered SUV and hustled into the McDougall Centre in Calgary for a meeting with Alberta Environment Minister Jason Nixon.  

Guilbeault has dedicated most of his career to telling Canadians they need to transition from petrochemically fueled transportation. During this meeting though, Guilbeault chose not to find an utilize an electric-powered SUV in order to demonstrate his environmental virtue. With the resources of the entire federal government behind him, one would have thought that Guilbeault could have arranged appropriate transportation for his cross-Canada tour.  

It’s almost as if electric vehicles are still not ready for mainstream use yet. 

At least Guilbeault contributed to the Western economy with his conspicuous consumption of local petrochemical products.  

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