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Alberta election projections show massive NDP majority, Kenney losing own seat

The figures show Kenney’s riding of Calgary-Lougheed, which he won comfortably last time, is currently a toss-up.

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A new seat projection shows if an Alberta election was held today the UCP would be wiped out in urban centres, Rachel Notley would get an NDP majority and Premier Jason Kenney could even lose his seat.

Combining several recent polls, including one by the Western Standard, the 338Canada Alberta model calculates the NDP to win a whopping 60 seats in the province. Only 44 seats are needed for a majority.

The projections, reported in Macleans, shows the UCP would be nearly swept out of urban Alberta and could even lose some of its rural base. 

The projections show neither the Alberta Party nor the Wildrose Independence Party would be favoured to win a single seat.

The figures show Kenney’s riding of Calgary-Lougheed, which he won comfortably last time, is a toss-up.

The UCP is currently not projected to win a single seat in Calgary. The NDP is projected to win 50% support with the UCP at 30%

The WIP is at 8%, The Alberta Party at 6% and the Liberals at 3%

The story for the UCP is even worse in Edmonton where the NDP has the support of 62% compared to 24% for Kenney’s UCP. The WIP is at 6% and the Wildrose 4%.

It’s projected the NDP would sweep all 21 seats in the provincial capital.

The UCP does lead the NDP in northern Alberta 37% to 35%. The WIP is at 14% and the Alberta Party at seven.

The UCP is projected to win eight seats and the NDP six.

The UCP is a little more comfortable in Central Alberta sitting at 40% compared to the NDP at 29%, the WIP sits at 16% and The Alberta Party at 8%. The UCP is expected to win 9 seats compared to the NDP’s five.

The race is tight in Southern Alberta with the Tories sitting at 37%, the NDP 35%, the WIP at 15% and The Alberta Party at 5%.

Alberta will hold an election in 2023.

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12 Comments

12 Comments

  1. Barbara

    October 26, 2021 at 7:45 pm

    Get your act together Wildrose. Start campaigning now.
    Avoid a split vote. Get organized.

  2. Claudette Leece

    October 26, 2021 at 10:59 am

    Glen Kenneysjust like OToole, showed uscupcakes when all the bag had, was stale bread. But nothing could get me to vote NDP, ever, Maverick, PPC or sepertists

  3. Bonnie Danylyshen

    October 26, 2021 at 9:35 am

    Buy a Wildrose membership, get involved.

  4. Declan Carroll

    October 25, 2021 at 6:31 pm

    People are not understanding Kenney doesn’t work for conservatives or Albertans he works for the Uni-Party. If he had any loyalty to the Party or the Province he would step asside so we could salvage the upcoming election. Once you understand where his loyalties lay all becomes clear.

  5. The Real Kevin

    October 25, 2021 at 3:22 pm

    Sane people, should be lying to any and all pollsters who get hold of their phone number.

    FYI, there is no such thing as an honest poll anymore. It is always a push poll, trying to steer you to a certain answer. So, GIVE THEM THE ANSWER THEY WANT. Raise the fog of war, let Notley believe she has this in the bag. Let CTV, CBC, everyone believe that there is not a conservative left anywhere in the province.

    And then stick the knife in election day. Maybe you can get Notley to write her on ‘What Happened’ book like Hillary did.

  6. Cosmo Kramer

    October 25, 2021 at 1:06 pm

    Sane people should be looking at Wildrose. That this is not happening only shows how far this province gone and likely beyond the point of no return. Myself and my family are strongly considering moving to the USA.

  7. John Lankers

    October 25, 2021 at 1:02 pm

    I can’t believe 50% of the population are suicidal – actually, I can.
    As said by others, buy a WIPA membership at wildrosenation.com

  8. K

    October 25, 2021 at 11:19 am

    GOOD GOD. WIPA PEOPLE. GET IT THROUGH YOUR STUPID HEADS.

  9. Glenn Taylor

    October 25, 2021 at 11:18 am

    @MIKE BUJOLD Exactly. Kenney thought he could appease the media, AHS and progressives and he has far less than ZERO to show for it. If he’d stuck to principles on mandates and passports, his support would be much higher.

    I’m surprised more won’t consider Wildrose Party considering how awful our options are: Useless, spineless UCP or Raging Rachel who would have locked us up in our homes.

  10. Andrew

    October 25, 2021 at 11:03 am

    wildrosenation.com !!!

    get a membership/donate/volunteer/spread the word to friends and family/vote

  11. Dennis

    October 25, 2021 at 10:59 am

    There is only ONE Poll that counts and that one is in 2023 Election Day. All this is newspaper fluff for Monday headlines.

    However, if you believe even a smidgen of this, go to Wildrosenation.com buy your membership, make a tax deductible donation and get involved with the future of Alberta. Or, just sit back and watch the province go further in the toilet with either one of these socialist governments. Your choice!

  12. Mike Bujold

    October 25, 2021 at 10:20 am

    Pisses off his base by acting like a dictator, straight up lying, pandering to AHS and their unions – all to appease people who would never vote for him – and this is the result. Shocking, really. Should’ve taken lessons from Ron DeSantis.

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Top Ontario doc says separating vaxxed and unvaxxed best way to get COVID under control

Ontario has had more than 626,000 cases of COVID-19 which has left more than 10,000 people dead.

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One of the ways to bring the COVID-19 pandemic under control is to stop “the mixing of unvaccinated and vaccinated,” says Ontario’s chief medical officer.

“Basic means of protecting individuals is stopping the mixing of unvaccinated and vaccinated,” said Dr. Kieran Moore at a Tuesday press conference.

“And if our cases continue through and after the holidays we would make recommendations of government to continue the certification process in play. But we’ll continue to review the data. We do have a very robust testing strategy in Ontario for the winter months as we’ve released previously. We’ve purchased … 11 million rapid antigen test for all students in Ontario.”

Moore was asked whether COVID-19 is “something we’re just going to have to learn to live with” and whether it would ever go away.

“We have a long ways to go with the World Health Organization and other international organizations to try to decrease the number of individuals in which this virus can mutate and/or spread,” he said.

“But I do see a time when we’ll have low, endemic rates and it will turn out to be like influenza or other winter respiratory viruses where there’s a seasonality to it, where it does have an intermittent impact on our health-care system and like influenza, you need an annual vaccine to protect against it.”

Ontario has had more than 626,000 cases of COVID-19 which has left more than 10,000 people dead.

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News

Trudeau’s beach denier demoted

Trudeau was photographed twice on a beach in Tofino after deciding to skip the first day of a holiday he created — the National Day of Truth and Reconciliation on September 30.

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The Justin Trudeau spokesman who told reporters the prime minister “wasn’t on a beach” when he was, has been demoted, says Blacklock’s Reporter.

Trudeau was photographed twice on a beach in Tofino after deciding to skip the first day of a holiday he created — the National Day of Truth and Reconciliation on September 30.

Trudeau had promised to “set a higher bar for openness and transparency in government.”

Alex Wellstead will be “taking on new challenges” as press secretary to the industry minister, the Prime Minister’s Office said yesterday.  

Wellstead. Courtesy Twitter

Wellstead in a statement called it “a very difficult decision to make.” He had worked as Trudeau’s official spokesman for 20 months.

Wellstead on September 30 issued misleading statements to conceal the fact Trudeau spent the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation at a beach resort in Tofino, B.C.

“He wasn’t on a beach,” Wellstead told The Canadian Press at the time. Global News and the weekly Chilliwack Progress photographed Trudeau strolling on the beach and enjoying a glass of beer on a beachfront patio.

The Prime Minister’s Office claimed Trudeau was in private meetings in Ottawa. Staff flew an Indian Residential School “survivors’ flag” and issued a solemn statement in Trudeau’s name.

“We remember the children who never made it home,” it said.

Wellstead did not explain his conduct.

“You as a communicator need to understand everything,” Wellstead said in a March 30 interview with public relations students at Sheridan College in Oakville, Ont.

The prime minister in 2015 Ministerial Mandate letters said officials must be truthful and transparent.

“Members of the Parliamentary Press Gallery, indeed all journalists in Canada and abroad, are professionals who by asking necessary questions contribute in an important way to the democratic process,” wrote Trudeau.

“Your professionalism and engagement with them is essential.

“We have committed to set a higher bar for openness and transparency in government. It is time to shine more light on government to ensure it remains focused on the people it serves.

“Government and its information should be open by default. If we want Canadians to trust their government, we need a government that trusts Canadians.

“It is important that we acknowledge mistakes when we make them. Canadians do not expect us to be perfect. They expect us to be honest, open and sincere in our efforts to serve the public interest.”

Trudeau on October 6 apologized for the Tofino holiday.

“Traveling on September 30 was a mistake and I regret it,” the prime minister told reporters.

“What made you decide to take a personal trip on a day your government set aside to honour the victims and survivors of residential schools?” asked a reporter.

“Like I said, it was a mistake,” replied Trudeau.

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News

Feds threaten regulated businesses with COVID fines

The labour department in a statement said it would rewrite the Canada Labour Code to mandate vaccination for some 955,000 private sector employees in federally regulated sectors like air transportation, banking, broadcasting, grain milling, marine shipping, railways and interprovincial trucking.

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If they don’t mandate vaccination of workers, the Labour department is threatening to levy cash fines against airports, banks, radio stations and other federally-regulated employers, says Blacklock’s Reporter.

But the Liberals stopped short of repeating an earlier threat to strip workers of legal rights to challenge vaccine orders.

“It is time to move on,” said Government House Leader Mark Holland.

“Get vaccinated. That’s what Canadians expect to have happen.

“I think the country understands we have now 90% of Canadians who have had their first injection, over 86% with their second. All workplaces across the country” should promote vaccinations, he added.

The labour department in a statement said it would rewrite the Canada Labour Code to mandate vaccination for some 955,000 private sector employees in federally regulated sectors like air transportation, banking, broadcasting, grain milling, marine shipping, railways and interprovincial trucking.

First Nations businesses will be exempt.

“Employers who do not comply with their obligations under the Canada Labour Code may be subject to compliance and enforcement measures including administrative monetary penalties,” the notice said.

“The government will consult with key stakeholders, including representatives of small and medium-sized employers, as it works expeditiously to finalize the new regulations which would come into force in early 2022. The government will also develop resources to help federally regulated workplaces implement the COVID-19 vaccination requirements.”

The notice made no reference to a liability shield proposed by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau during the election campaign. Trudeau on September 1 said a re-elected Liberal cabinet would shield employers from any legal challenge of vaccination orders.

“We’ll stand firm on our commitment,” said Trudeau, adding: “We’ll protect businesses that mandate vaccinations from unjustified lawsuits.”

Canadians who declined a COVID-19 shot were “more than just wrong, because everyone’s entitled to their opinion, they are putting at risk their own kids and they’re putting at risk our kids as well,” said Trudeau.

“What about my choice to keep my kids safe? What about our choices to make sure we’re getting through this pandemic as quickly as we can?”

The Liberal Party in its September 1 campaign platform stated: “A re-elected Liberal government will table legislation to ensure every business and organization that decides to require proof of vaccination from employees and customers can do so without fear of a legal challenge.”

Compulsory vaccination breaches federal law, according to a May 19 statement by Privacy Commissioner Daniel Therrien and 1996 National Immunization Report by the Department of Health.

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