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Stage set as Trudeau tries for third term

“Yes, the government is hell bent on having an election. There are some unpredictables, however.”

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Political insiders say a late-September federal election is almost certain, leading political scientists and strategists to speculate how it will play out.

As July wound down, the Hill Times reported National Liberal Campaign Director Azam Ishmael told candidates to rent campaign offices for two months. Given that federal election campaigns are 36 to 50 days, it seems Canadians will soon return to the polls.

Daniel Bernier with Earnscliffe Strategies told Western Standard the stage is set.

“You don’t call an election before the Nova Scotia one is over,” Bernier said, of the August 17 provincial ballot. “I see the [federal] election at the end of September. Unless something happened dramatic, I would say it would be the 27th or something like that.”

Nelson Wiseman, political science professor at the University of Toronto, agrees.

“Yes, the government is hell bent on having an election. There are some unpredictables, however. If we get a very bad spike of COVID-19 cases that might dampen their enthusiasm,” he said.

Wiseman said most voters will keep their partisan loyalties, but some familiar sentiments may emerge.

“For some people, it’s going to be oh Trudeau has been in power too long. The Liberals will try to make it sound as they do in other elections: ‘Oh, if you elect the Conservatives, abortion rights will be threatened, gay rights will be threatened. There’ll be dramatic cuts to social programs,’” Wiseman explained.

“Trudeau in Quebec is going to be arguing that the Bloc can’t get anything done, and Quebecers are better having somebody…on the government side….In the rest of the country, he’ll just give the same stuff: ‘We’re there for Canadians when they need when they need a helping hand. We tried to show that in the pandemic,’ that sort of thing.”

Bernier believes if the Liberals lose votes to the NDP, the ironic result would be more wins for Conservatives and the Bloc.

“I don’t see major gains made by the Liberals in the regions [of Quebec outside the main cities]. I don’t see that. But the real question would be, are they keeping all Montreal like they have, are they losing some seats in Quebec, or they’re saving their bacon there?” Bernier asked.

A recent IPSOS poll for Global showed that the pandemic trails in order of importance to Canadians behind healthcare, affordability and cost of living, climate change and the economy. Conservatives were seen as best able to handle the economic issues, and Liberals the others.

Bernier expects Canadians will assess Trudeau’s response to the pandemic, whether the spending was excessive, and how the economy can be restored. Bernier does not expect major shifts despite potential battlegrounds in the largest provinces, including Ontario.

“There were some ridings that were very tight, below the one percent line last time. So, I think that there might be some minor switch in seats unless there’s something that really triggers the Ontarians. But for the moment, I don’t see it,” Bernier said.

“The Canada US border is a big issue for the interior, because almost half of the goods are going through that border.” 

Many other smaller issues could cause ripples, given their timing, such as the $500 Canadians 75 or older will receive from the federal government the week of August 16. Agreements to allow federal child care dollars to flow to the provinces for child care could also soon be formalized.

“He’s not shy at announcing all sorts of millions and billions of dollars, pre campaign,” Bernier said of Trudeau.

Bernier believes the Conservatives will pick up a few seats in the Maritimes, especially in areas where native fishing rights have upset non-Indigenous fishers and that “BC should be interesting.”

Jacqueline Biollo, a principal with Aurora Strategy Group often touted as a Liberal strategist on CTV panels, told Western Standard help for small business, economic growth, initiatives on health and the environment, affordable daycare, and changes to fiscal stabilization should all be expected. 

“What the Liberals won’t be doing is going backwards with cuts to vital services that families rely on, like Erin O’Toole’s Conservatives seem to be focused on. The Liberals will speak out against racism and sexism, Canadians deserve better,” Biollo said.

“With Green Party Leader Annamie Paul’s struggle to gain political traction due to unprecedented infighting in the party, etc., the Liberals will continue to be a model of integrity and transparency with a strong leader in Prime Minister Trudeau who accepts blame and gives credit.”

Lee Harding is a Saskatchewan-based correspondent for Western Standard.

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6 Comments

6 Comments

  1. Edward Hildebrand

    August 4, 2021 at 10:06 am

    JT is totally inept and the Liberal party is so far left they look more like Communists. They have bought into every destructive view possible from BLM, ANTIFA, open borders, white privilege and on and on. They are corrupt and believe as Goebbels did that if the lie is big enough people will think it must be true. As an example here is a line from the above article:

    “the Liberals will continue to be a model of integrity and transparency with a strong leader in Prime Minister Trudeau who accepts blame and gives credit.”

    If you buy that there is no hope for you!

  2. SaskFreedom

    August 3, 2021 at 10:01 pm

    This pos, communist sympathizer needs to realize this election, if nothing else, the west is ready and willing to separate. So if Quebec wants their undeserved “tendies” care of Alberta/Sask, they better be willing to play ball and cooperate as a team rather than as plantation owners.
    No other reasoning will work with these Laurentian terrorists. We must threaten separation now or nothing will change, it’s been like this since confederation and nothing will change without an ultimatum.

  3. Clash

    August 3, 2021 at 9:58 am

    Justin Trudeau is trying to bring a Cuba Style Socialist government to Canada. The Cuban people have lived in misery,poverty and oppression for over 60 years. How can anyone want this for our country. He will bring in bills C10 and C-36 which will muzzle people and also make people inform on each other causing a huge amount of FEAR in the population. Divide and Conquer! That is how the Communists have controlled people in their Countries. He pays the Main Stream Media with Taxpayer money to make us pay for his Propaganda Machine. He is a 49 year old adolescent who has never had to work or earn his way in anything business wise. His own Father (Pierre) set up the terms of his inheritence so that he would not get control of his own money, and lived on a generous allowance, until he was 45 years old. Now he wants to do the “GREAT RESET?”. Wake up people the Liberals and NDP have to lose in a big way in the next election so we can do a Great Reset back to Normalcy. If the Liberals lose the next election the ensuing result will be a Leadership Review and maybe we can get an Adult next time as a Liberal leader of the party. I AM A LIBERAL! I AM NOT A COMMUNIST!!!

  4. Left Coast

    August 3, 2021 at 8:52 am

    You are on the right track Claudette . . .

    But why are Canooks so dumbed down?
    The FakeStream Media must get a lot of the Credit . . . their biased reporting is even worse since it has been Govt Funded.
    Canada’s Public Education system has been turning out little Johnies that can’t Think for decades now . . . and of course our Far-Left/aka marxist Universities dumb down the majority of students.

    Even during the PlanDemic most Canooks never figured out that it was never as big a threat to vast majority of the population, that the PCR Test was a complete Fraud, and that continued Lockdowns were doing more damage than the actual virus.

    These same clueless Canooks are proud to have the Dumbest Leader on the Planet spending them to Oblivion in just 6 years. Although now I think Senile China Joe Biden has moved Justin to Second Dumbest . . .

  5. K

    August 3, 2021 at 7:41 am

    Probably the last election people will vote in in this country. I say ‘people’ because I’m never voting again.

  6. Claudette Leece

    August 3, 2021 at 6:42 am

    Amazes me how really gullible many Canadians are, the future scary with the youth and their ignorance of politics and what all this spending will do. Used to think Canadians were pretty smart, Trudeau’s time in office showed me don’t believe that anymore

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Kenney leadership review to be held April 9 in Red Deer, in convention-style vote

The UCP board decided not to listen to demands from 22 constituency associations that wanted a review by March at the latest, said a Western Standard source close to the board.

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Editor’s note. Due to a typo, the initial version of the story said the review would be April 6. Sources say the vote will take place April 9.

A pay-to-vote leadership review of United Conservative Party leader Jason Kenney will be held April 9 in Red Deer, the Western Standard has learned.

The UCP board decided not to listen to demands from 22 constituency associations that wanted a review by March at the latest, said a Western Standard source close to the board.

The source said the board felt it was “being generous” to the 22 rebel ridings by holding a review in April.

Details on how much it will cost to go to the conference are still being worked out, but it will be a system where you have to pay to vote, the source said.

Those details are expected to be announced in January.

While the board meeting was “friendly,” pro-Kenney factions later held long discussions to plan strategy, said the source.

A convention-style review appears to favour Kenney as opposed to a one-vote-per-party-member system as Kenney is famed for his political organizing power.

His office came under fire last month for allegedly using money from third-party political action committees (PACs) to send people to the UCP AGM which turned into a Kenney love-fest that left the leader smiling.

Kenney denied knowledge of the PAC money.

“I’m not involved in third party organizations, but third party political organizations are free, within the law, to be involved in politics,” said Kenney.

Prior to the AGM Airdrie-Cochrane UCP MLA Peter Guthrie sent Kenney a letter which said the party was on the verge of collapse. 

“Public opinion continues to wane, and we may be at a point where this party cannot be salvaged,” writes Guthrie, in the letter obtained by the Western Standard.

“Membership has fallen from 150,000 to less than 10,000 and fundraising is evaporating along with our credibility.”

Much of the UCP grassroots frustration has come on the heels of controversial COVID-19 lockdown restrictions. Kenney also brought in a vaccine passport scheme he vowed never to introduce.

Another scandal that infuriated UCP members was when the infamous pictures were published of Kenney holding an outdoor dinner on the balcony of the “Sky Palace” in contravention of the government’s of laws, regulations, and guidelines.

In April, a UCP MLA told the Western Standard they are “100% certain” Kenney would be the subject of an early party leadership review.

“Caucus is in total chaos,” said the MLA, who spoke with the Western Standard on the condition of anonymity.

But the expected caucus revolt failed to materialize.

At one point the caucus booted MLAs Todd Loewen and Drew Barnes for dissension.

Editor’s note. Due to a typo, the initial version of the story said the review would be April 6. Sources say the vote will take place April 9.

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard
dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com
Twitter.com/nobby7694

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YouTube cancels Western Standard for reporting news story

“Your channel now has one strike,” said YouTube in the e-mail, adding Western Standard’s account has been suspended for one week.

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YouTube issued one strike against the Western Standard for reporting on a Calgary police officer who was put on leave for refusing the COVID-19 vaccinations.

YouTube sent the notification via e-mail to Derek Fildebrandt, president and CEO of the Western Standard, on Wednesday, and stated the video included in the story violates YouTube’s “medical misinformation policy.”

“YouTube doesn’t allow claims about COVID-19 vaccinations that contradict expert consensus from local health authorities or the World Health Organization (WHO),” said the e-mail.

“YouTube banned our account for sharing content that contradicted the advice of the WHO and local health authorities,” said Fildebrandt.

“But the WHO and local health authorities contradict themselves. One such health authority, Alberta Health Services (AHS), had to contradict itself after the Western Standard caught them lying to Albertans about which they falsely claimed was a COVID-19 death of a child.”

The notice indicated YouTube had removed the video stating, “We know this might be disappointing, but it’s important to us that YouTube is a safe place for all.”

In the video, an emotional Const. Brian Denison, a 24-year veteran with the Calgary Police Service (CPS), explained the turmoil he has faced for refusing to be vaccinated by the December 1 deadline set out by the CPS.

Denison, one year from retirement, called the vaccine policy a “farce” and said the CPS is “bullying” staff. He also described the segregation of society into the “vaccinated and unvaccinated” as similar to Hitler’s Nazi regime.

The Western Standard’s News Editor Dave Naylor covered the story in an unbiased fashion and included the video of Denison.

“Your channel now has one strike,” said YouTube in the e-mail, adding Western Standard’s account has been suspended for one week.

The YouTube team further warned a second strike will result in a two-week suspension and three strikes within a 90-day period would result in the channel being permanently removed.

“YouTube — like other big tech and big social corporations — is so terrified of being regulated by the government that it over-regulates itself,” said Fildebrandt.

“In time, these monopolies will destroy themselves.”

The Western Standard has already submitted an appeal to YouTube and contacted their press department, as well as moved the video in question to Rumble.

“Of all the social media giants, YouTube has the weakest monopoly,” said Fildebrandt.

“They can ban the Western Standard and other media from posting legitimate news content all they like, and we’ll just put it on other platforms. That’s why we’ve been making a concerted effort to utilize platforms with a greater respect for free speech, like Rumble.”

The Western Standard did not receive a response from YouTube’s press department in time for publishing.

Melanie Risdon is a reporter with the Western Standard
mrisdon@westernstandardonline.com

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Canada joins growing diplomatic boycott of Chinese 2022 Olympics

The countries say the move is to protest the human rights record of the Chinese government, especially when it comes to the minority Uyghur Muslim community.

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First, it was the US. Then Australia. Now Canada has joined the list of countries refusing to send diplomats or high-level officials to the Beijing Winter Olympics next year.

The countries say the move is to protest the human rights record of the Chinese government, especially when it comes to the minority Uyghur Muslim community.

Canadian athletes will still be allowed to compete.

“For months, we have been coordinating and discussing the issue with our allies,” Prime Minister Justin Trudeau told reporters Wednesday.

“As many partners around the world, we are extremely concerned by the repeated human rights violations by the Chinese government.

“This should not come as a surprise” to the Chinese regime, said Trudeau.

“(The athletes) need to have one thing in mind and that’s representing the country to the best of their ability and winning a gold medal for Canada,” he said.

Earlier this year, the House of Commons passed a motion calling the violence directed at religious minorities in China’s Xinjiang province as “genocide.” Trudeau and his cabinet were absent for the vote.

In a statement, the Canadian Olympic Committee (COC) said it “understands and respects” the decision and applauds the effort to “draw an important distinction between the participation of athletes and the participation of government officials.”

Canada’s last Olympic boycott was in Russia in 1980, protesting that country’s invasion of Afghanistan.

The US announced its decision on Monday.

“U.S. diplomatic or official representation would treat these games as business as usual in the face of the [People’s Republic of China]’s egregious human rights abuses and atrocities in Xinjiang, and we simply can’t do that,” White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki said during a briefing.

Chinese officials have already said the US will pay for its boycott.

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We the undersigned call on the Canadian government to immediately cease all payouts to media companies.

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