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POLL: Conservatives close in on Liberals

Nanos said most of O’Toole’s upward momentum was gained from “undecided people.”




The Tories are alive and kicking.

Tracking performed by Nanos Research for CTV News and the Globe and Mail revealed Erin O’Toole’s Conservatives are beginning to gain legitimate momentum in the polls, putting them in a “statistical dead heat” with the Liberals.

The latest round of daily polling released saw support for the Liberals sitting at 32.5% and the Conservatives hot on their heels at 31.4%. With the poll’s margin of error at 2.8%, the 1.1% difference may not be significant enough to celebrate about.

On the latest episode of CTV’s Trend Line, Nik Nanos, founder and chief data scientist at Nanos Research said “now the race is on,” between the Liberals and Conservatives. Nanos said Liberal supporters may be feeling anxious after seeing the new numbers as the party has gone from “majority territory to minority territory to a dead heat, at least on the ballot numbers.”

Polling numbers also indicate hopes for a Liberal majority slowly dwindling away as September 20, election day, approaches.

Campaigns kicked off on August 15, and poll results show Conservatives gaining consistently early on.

The Conservatives may have O’Toole to thank for this new lead, as his personal preferred candidate status rose from 17.7% to 24% during August. Trudeau still leads at 32.7% preferred, but the margin narrowed since his 35.6% support from polling August 12.

Nanos said most of O’Toole’s upward momentum was gained from “undecided people.”

The NDP sits at 20.8% ballot support according to the polls, although they seem to be remaining stagnant as the number has only gone up by .01% since August 12 showed them wielding 20.7% support.

Like the Conservatives, the NDP’s placement in the polls could be linked back to their leader Jagmeet Singh. He performed well in the preferred candidate polling, gaining 2.5% from his 16.9% results on August 12.

Nanos believes Singh is one to watch in this election, saying he is an “important factor,” but said he will have to “figure out how he can cut through the clutter and make it a three-way race,” if he really wants results.

Also on the left, the Green Party is losing traction and saw its support slide in the poll from 7.9% to 5.1%. Dealing with internal conflict and funding issues for the party, new leader Annamie Paul says she will primarily focus her campaign on her home riding in downtown Toronto rather than attempting to gain widespread appeal across the nation.

Polls shows Paul sitting at only 1.8% support for the preferred candidate, which decreased from 2.6% in August 12’s poll. Nanos acknowledged Paul’s choice to run an atypical campaign saying it is because “the funds have not been provided for that to happen.”

Bloc Quebcois share in the NDP’s relative consistency with 6.1% support down from 6.3%.

Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party is sitting at 3.3% but are positively up from only 1.9% support in August 12’s poll.

Nanos says recent polling trends show a “reset” from July to August in the lead-up to the campaign. Prior to August, the Liberals had double-digits of support over the Conservatives, a stark contrast to recent data revealing a closing gap.

“It’s going to be interesting to see whether there’s a breakout moment, because that’s the thing we’ve got to watch out for right now,” said Nanos, during a CTV interview.

According to Nanos, it will be interesting from this point in the campaign forward to see if the Liberals shot themselves in the foot by calling the election so quickly and potentially not having enough time to reverse Conservative-positive poll numbers.

Nanos cautioned that O’Toole’s biggest hurdle currently is to stay out of his own way, avoid mistakes, and not dismantle the current trend.

Jackie Conroy is a reporter for the Western Standard

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  1. KC

    August 24, 2021 at 1:48 pm

    I agree with Left Coast, and we should have followed Sweden’s example. Trudeau must go, but I am also of the opinion O’Toole and Singh are just as bad. Singh is no different than Trudeau on the covid file, and O’Toole thinks that vaccine choice but daily testing for the unvaccinated is OK. Nota a chance!! He is equally authoritarian than Trudeau, but perhaps less corrupt. We don’t really know on that front. Canadians really do need to start looking seriously at the other options. Canada is just as screwed under O’Toole, but for the moment people think he is OK because he is “conservative” (in name only). I am personally furious with the CPC platform and will not be voting for them.

  2. David

    August 24, 2021 at 12:23 pm

    Prime Minster Tool instead of Justine, that would be a refreshing change, but no reason for Alberta to stay in confederation.

  3. Deb

    August 24, 2021 at 12:18 pm

    Definitely agree 100% with West Coast due you really want our Crime Minister back for another round of destruction. https://rumble.com/vldsuw-vaccine-choice-canada-with-dr-david-martin.html

  4. Left Coast

    August 24, 2021 at 10:12 am

    I believe one of the reasons that our low intellect Crime Minister called the Election was because he wanted to get it done BEFORE all the Collateral Damage from the Massive Govt Failure on the Wuhan Virus File.

    Once it becomes common knowledge that Canada’s Health Authorities LIED about “Cases” using a PCT Test than could only identify a Corona Virus of which there are many.

    The Lives Lost because of Lockdowns, access to Healthcare that was denied, suicides, drug death increases and the Economic Destruction . . . would be bad news for the sitting Govt.

    Meanwhile . . . Sweden who looked after the Seniors and stayed open are fine today . . .

    Despite these criticisms, Sweden’s laissez-faire approach to the pandemic continues today. In contrast to its European neighbors, Sweden is welcoming tourists. Businesses and schools are open with almost no restrictions. And as far as masks are concerned, not only is there no mandate in place, Swedish health officials are not even recommending them.

    What are the results of Sweden’s much-derided laissez-faire policy? Data show the 7-day rolling average for COVID deaths yesterday was zero. As in nada. And it’s been at zero for about a week now.

    Even a year ago, it was clear the hyperbolic claims about “the Swedish catastrophe” were false; just ask Elon Musk. But a year later the evidence is overwhelming that Sweden got the pandemic mostly right. Sweden’s overall mortality rate in 2020 was lower than most of Europe and its economy suffered far less. Meanwhile, today Sweden is freer and healthier than virtually any other country in Europe.

    As much of the world remains gripped in fear and nations devise new restrictions to curtail basic freedoms, Sweden remains a vital and shining reminder that there is a better way.


  5. Andrew

    August 24, 2021 at 9:57 am


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Sask Polytech ditches vax policy but burdens unvaxxed with testing costs

The Justice Centre is unsatisfied with the response of Sask Polytech and reiterated its intention to pursue legal action against the institution and against the University of Saskatchewan over its requirement for staff and students to be vaccinated for COVID-19.





The Justice Centre for Constitutional Freedoms is unsatisfied with the decision of Saskatchewan Polytech to reverse its vaccination requirement for staff and students because the institute does not recognize natural immunity and imposes testing costs on the unvaccinated.

On November 19, the Justice Centre sent Sask Polytech and the University of Saskatchewan letters demanding they reverse their requirement that all staff and students be vaccinated by January 1, 2022. 

On December 1, Sask Polytech reversed its “vaccinated only” policy but now requires unvaccinated staff and students to comply with testing three times a week at their own expense. In a press release, the Justice Centre called this “unacceptable.”

“Such testing requirements for students are even greater than the Saskatchewan government’s requirements for employees of its ministries. Sask Poly has also failed to recognize the compelling scientific evidence of natural immunity for those who have already recovered from Covid-19 and have proof of antibodies,” reads a JCCF press release on Saturday.

“Testing costs, which could exceed $200 per week, mean that only the wealthy and privileged can bear the burden,” stated Andre Memauri, the Justice Centre’s Saskatoon-based lawyer.

“Sask Poly, which has chosen to impose discriminatory testing requirements for staff and students, has the ability to acquire these tests at wholesale cost.”

The Justice Centre said it would commence legal proceedings against Sask Poly in the Court of Queen’s Bench unless Sask Poly immediately absorbs the testing costs and recognizes natural immunity. 

On October 28, the U of S and Sask Polytech announced mandatory vaccinations for all students, staff and faculty, removing the alternative of twice weekly testing which had been in place since the start of the school year. The Justice Centre will also commence legal action against the U of S for refusing unvaccinated students. 

On November 26, Global News reported a 19-year-old student was hospitalized briefly with breathing problems after receiving the Johnson and Johnson vaccine. The student’s mother, Michelle Marciniuk, publicly called for the university to reconsider its policy.

The U of S’ policy includes exemptions on medical and religious grounds in accordance with the Saskatchewan Human Rights Code. But according to the Justice Centre, the university usually rejects exemption requests or does not respond to them for several weeks. Besides this, the university has made itself the arbiter of faith considerations for religious exemptions. Medical exemptions have become a difficult document for patients to receive in Canada, due to regulatory pressure on physicians not to provide them based on their medical judgement except in very rare circumstances.

The U of S crowns itself for academic freedom, diversity, equality, human dignity and a healthy work and learning environment, yet it has harshly terminated faculty for speaking on the hallmark principle of informed consent for Covid-19 vaccination of children,” stated Andre Memauri, a U of S alum. 

“Now, the U of S seeks to exclude and villainize those who decide for various reasons not to be vaccinated…Without question, our community has been through a great deal of difficulty and it requires these institutions to lead as vessels of science not ideology…The Justice Centre demands both schools follow the science and adopt policies that bring students together in the most safe and lawful manner.”

The letters sent to both schools from the Justice Centre on November 19 warned that the schools are seeking to deprive students from education on the basis of vaccination status, contrary to Article 26 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and Sections 2(a), 7, and 15 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

Harding is a Western Standard contributor based in Saskatchewan

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CRA wants more tax filers to file online

The government’s own research shows millions of paper filers resist change.




The taxman is angry that too many Canadians are still filing by mail, says Blacklock’s Reporter.

The government’s own research shows millions of paper filers resist change.

“Those who submit their taxes by mail most often say they use paper rather than filing electronically because it is simply how they prefer to do it, e.g. they do it out of habit, because ‘it’s what they are comfortable with,’ they like it, etcetera,” said a Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) report.

“Just 13% cite security issues.”

Data show of 30.5 million tax returns filed this year a total 2.7 million or 9% were filed on paper. Millions of taxpayers, a total 4,234,772 including Internet filers, demanded refunds be paid by mailed cheque instead of direct deposit.

The CRA complained it would be “more timely and efficient” if all taxpayers used the Internet. The Agency spends $6.9 million annually mailing T1 general tax forms alone.

“There is still a sizable proportion of taxpayers who are conducting their business with the Canada Revenue Agency through paper rather than taking advantage of digital services which are much more timely and efficient,” said the report.

Research showed typical paper filers were working age men under 55 who completed their own return without a tax preparer, had a university degree, earned more than $80,000 a year and were more likely than other Canadians to prefer in-person teller service rather than online banking.

“The most important factor influencing why respondents file by paper instead of online is disinterest,” wrote researchers, who added: “Apathy is a barrier. Fifty percent of likely switchers say they are simply not interested in switching. Therefore the agency will have to demonstrate the value of switching.”

Findings were based on questionnaires with 2,000 taxpayers who filed returns by mail. The Agency paid Earnscliffe Strategy Group $130,061 for the survey.

The research follows a failed 2012 campaign to have all Canadians use direct deposit for payment of tax refunds and benefit cheques. The attempt by the Receiver General of Canada, the federal office responsible for processing payments, was intended to save costs. Paper cheques cost 82¢ apiece to process compared to 13¢ for electronic transfers, by official estimate.

An estimated 13% of taxpayers refused to surrender bank account information to the Receiver General. “Cheque recipients have become harder to engage,” said a 2020 Department of Public Works survey.

“A few have a general distrust of the Government of Canada’s ability to protect data,” wrote researchers. A total 23 percent of Atlantic residents said they wouldn’t rely on the government to protect their privacy, followed by 22% in Saskatchewan and Manitoba, 21% in Ontario, 19% in Alberta, 18% in BC and 12% in Québec.

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WATCH: Alberta Oil drives Guilbeault to meeting with Nixon

Federal Environment Minister Stephen Guilbeault’s tour of Alberta has already kicked off with a whiff of hypocrisy.




Attended by a sizable entourage, Guilbeault exited his black gasoline-powered SUV and hustled into the McDougall Centre in Calgary for a meeting with Alberta Environment Minister Jason Nixon.  

Guilbeault has dedicated most of his career to telling Canadians they need to transition from petrochemically fueled transportation. During this meeting though, Guilbeault chose not to find an utilize an electric-powered SUV in order to demonstrate his environmental virtue. With the resources of the entire federal government behind him, one would have thought that Guilbeault could have arranged appropriate transportation for his cross-Canada tour.  

It’s almost as if electric vehicles are still not ready for mainstream use yet. 

At least Guilbeault contributed to the Western economy with his conspicuous consumption of local petrochemical products.  

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