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New poll shows Liberals and Tories level heading into election

That is despite Conservative leader Erin O’Toole being disliked by more than half of Canadians – a figure higher than ever before.

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With an election looming, a new poll shows the governing Liberals and Conservatives are in a statistical tie.

A poll released by the Angus Reid Institute on Friday shows the parties most likely to end up forming government in a statistical tie – with the incumbent Liberals under leader Justin Trudeau a mere two points ahead of the Conservative Party led by Erin O’Toole (33% versus 31%). 

That’s despite O’Toole being disliked by more than half of Canadians – a figure higher than ever before.

The NDP remains in third place at 20%, with the Green Party (3%) and Bloc Quebecois (7%).

The poll shows the Liberals had been riding higher as their COVID-19 management was considered by most Canadians to be OK, but voters’ focus is now shifting to other issues.

“Replacing this issue in the public consciousness are matters of climate change, economic recovery, the size of the deficit, and indigenous issues, the latter of which has picked up notable traction in recent months,” the poll reported.

“And while issues may galvanize voters, they appear to be less inspired by the leaders in main contention. As the favourability of Trudeau and O’Toole decline, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh and Bloc Quebecois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet enjoy slight net positive favourability.

“As for the prospect of another Liberal victory – the nation is split. While few say they’d be “thrilled” (6%), a significant segment say it’s an outcome that would leave them “content” (33%). The rest are less sunny about it: one-quarter would be unhappy with that result (25%), while close to three-in-10 would be distraught (28%).”

Courtesy Angus Reid

Other key findings from Angus Reid: 

  • While the Liberal lead is slim, it is concentrated in key regions of the country. The party leads the CPC by four points in BC and Ontario, and is competitive with the BQ in Quebec, well ahead of the Conservatives.
  • Trudeau has an approval rating of 40% this quarter. Just 9% strongly approve of his performance, while 39% strongly disapprove.
  • Three-in-five Canadians (58%) have an unfavourable view of CPC leader Erin O’Toole, the highest level since he took over leadership of the party

The top issues in the campaign now are health care and climate change, the poll shows.

Courtesy Angus Reid

“The country, however, is not unified in its concern over the environment. Albertans are primarily concerned with the economy, the energy sector, and the federal deficit. Those in Saskatchewan also put these three issues at top of mind, while every other region of the country prioritizes climate change among its top three concerns. Conspicuously absent from the regional priorities list is COVID-19 response. That issue does not rank in the top three in any region of the country, the poll shows.

Courtesy Angus Reid

You can see the full poll here.

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard
dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com
Twitter.com/nobby769

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard and the Vice-President: News Division of Western Standard New Media Corp. He has served as the City Editor of the Calgary Sun and has covered Alberta news for nearly 40 years. dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com

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19 Comments

19 Comments

  1. Andrew

    July 24, 2021 at 8:40 pm

    There are two pollsters that refuse to poll Maverick! This Albertan will be voting Maverick.

  2. Alka

    July 24, 2021 at 7:30 pm

    PPC!

  3. Mars Hill

    July 20, 2021 at 11:23 pm

    I’m voting for the People Party led by the Quebec Cowboy…he get my vote hands down by default, I couldn’t in good conscious vote for anybody else.

  4. Declan Carroll

    July 19, 2021 at 11:55 pm

    Of course O’Toole and Trudeau are even there is no difference between either party. Liberals and Conservatives are the Canadian Uni-Party. Same as the Democrat and Republican Party. Two wings of the same bird. Both sell outs to the Party of Davos.

  5. K

    July 19, 2021 at 11:51 am

    Done voting for anything other than local or WIPA. Stick a fork in this country, it’s done.

  6. luigi

    July 18, 2021 at 2:59 pm

    Voting for libs, conservatives, independents, or ndp, is still part of the same hamster wheel. Free the west…. Through senate reform? Equalization? Lol. I can’t stop laughing!
    Canadian constitution or charter of rights? Should be named toilet paper tissue.
    Our own Canadian swamp desperately needs draining. Electing a different clown show in power in Ottawa will not change a single damn thing!

  7. berta baby

    July 18, 2021 at 2:34 pm

    Its a toss up for me PPC or Maverick . Otoole is trash and I won’t vote for any MP that runs for him

  8. RM

    July 18, 2021 at 2:02 pm

    The Liberals often are shown in a statistical ties with Conservatives around election time. They then go on to win a majority (the last election notwithstanding). I can’t help but suspect that this has more to do with getting the Liberal vote out in Ontario/Quebec urban areas than it does with accurate polling.

  9. Left Coast

    July 18, 2021 at 11:08 am

    @ Uddin . . . lol man . . .

    Mulroney was Pierre Trudope Light . . . he broke ALL his election promises and gave us the GST.

    Trump was the US President who created the Best US economy in 50 years. The LOWEST Minority Unemployment in HISTORY. An you never heard about it because you watch Global TV! And likely the reason the Wuhan Virus was released on the planet!
    ALL the Globalists were invested in China and Trump was crushing them . . . I know you and Justin are with the CCP.

    ALL extremists are of the LEFT my clueless friend . . .

  10. Kelly Carter

    July 18, 2021 at 10:16 am

    O’Toole’s platform is basically the Liberal platform just emphasis on different things and handing out different amounts of cash. No thanks! If I wanted Liberal policies I would vote Liberal or NDP. Maverick party for me!

  11. Nele

    July 18, 2021 at 9:32 am

    Vote for CPC, NDP or Liberals is just prolonging Status quo, lockdowns etc.

  12. CLAY STOWELL

    July 18, 2021 at 8:08 am

    i agree with John. we Must vote for the CPC because they are the only party with a hope in h__- of beating Trudeau at the election polls. Also in letting us own firearms.

  13. GS Uddin

    July 17, 2021 at 8:43 pm

    Whatever happened to Mulroney’s Conservatives? Moderate Righties with no racist or tribal loyalties, open to everyone.
    Now, conservatives are stuck between Christian Nationalists from the Cons to the White Nationalists from the PPC. Both completely crazy and fanatical losers. When will Alberta stop voting with lunatics and fanatical extremists? Maybe Trump is more their type?

  14. Steven

    July 17, 2021 at 2:22 pm

    It’s time for the https://www.maverickparty.ca/ to shine.

    The MAVERICK PARTY’s is the West’s only Federal Party. Their First goal is to get MAVERICK MPs elected to represent the West in Ottawa. No Maverick candidates will run East of the Manitoba/Ontario border. It’s a counter to O’Toole’s glad handing to Quebec. The West needs to be heard in Ottawa & the CPC is more interested in appeasing Quebec then representing the West or Alberta.

    I’ll be voting Maverick in Calgary in the next Federal Election.

  15. Westcanguy

    July 17, 2021 at 2:12 pm

    The CPC will not win because enough Conservatives have had it with the current leadership and will be voting PPC. Last election the PPC got 2% of the vote. Now, they are polling over 6% and the election hasn’t been called. Bernier is going across the country and working hard for votes. Shiny pony the the tool look for photo ops at the stampede.
    I’ll be voting PPC regardless of what some conservatives on here say about strategic voting. Among those two pathetic liberal and CPC losers, there is no better or worse.

  16. John Lankers

    July 17, 2021 at 12:34 pm

    As much as I appreciate Max and his PPC, every vote for him is indirectly going to Trudeau who is 10 x worse than the loser O’Toole.

  17. Bill Mccann

    July 17, 2021 at 9:58 am

    Why not list the PPC, they would hold the lions share of the 6%. Hmmm…could it be because 4% puts you in the debates? Poll corruption.

  18. Left Coast

    July 17, 2021 at 9:28 am

    Only two provinces in the entire country that actually Get It!

    Health Care & Klimate Change are their important issues when the Country is collapsing around them?
    Canada’s Cuba Style HC is only getting worse, throwing money at it does not work, the entire system is fatally flawed.
    Klimate Change is Fairy Dust . . . every 20 weeks China INCREASES Emissions by an amount equal to Canada’s ANNUAL Emissions . . . everything we do is just like throwing Billions of Dollars in a FIRE!

    Way past time for the West to LEAVE ! ! !

  19. CodexCoder

    July 17, 2021 at 9:19 am

    Neither Justine nor Errant Old Fool represent conservative values. And there are lies, damned lies and polls (my apologies to Samuel Clement)

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News

BREAKING: Omicron found in Alberta

On Monday, Alberta Premier Jason Kenney announced 156 Albertans self-quarantining after returning from travel in a country that had been hit with Omicron.

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The tentacles of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 have reached Alberta.

Dr. Deena Hinshaw said an Albertan returning home from Nigeria, via the Netherlands, has tested positive for Omicron.

Hinshaw said they tested positive a week ago and the person, who traveled alone, is now self-quarantining.

She said medical officials are trying to “delay” the spread of the variant until more research is done.

But Hinshaw refused to say where the traveller lives over fear it would identify them.

Hinshaw also urged people not to take out their frustrations against the family of the infected person nor the countries that are under an Omicron watch.

And she said people shouldn’t “think of this as a reset to Ground Zero.”

In her daily update, Hinshaw said in the last 24 hours, health officials have found 238 new cases of coronavirus. There are 434 people in the hospital with 81 in ICU. Another six people are reported to have succumbed to the virus.

On Monday, Alberta Premier Jason Kenney announced 156 Albertans self-quarantining after returning from travel in a country that had been hit with Omicron.

Six confirmed cases of the variant of concern have now been confirmed in Canada so far.

Earlier in the day, Canada added Nigeria, Malawi and Egypt to its Omicron travel ban.

On Friday, the government put restrictions on travellers from South Africa, Mozambique, Namibia, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Lesotho and Eswatini.

“Obviously we’re watching very, very closely the situation with Omicron,” Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said on his way into the cabinet meeting.

“There may be more we need to do and we’ll be looking at it very carefully.”

More to come…

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard
dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com
Twitter.com/nobby7694

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News

Unvaxxed grounded in Canada

As of November 30, travellers will no longer be allowed to submit a negative test result in place of proof of vaccination to board a plane or train in Canada.

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As of Tuesday, Canadian travellers over the age of 12 will no longer be able to fly or travel by train in Canada without proof of vaccination.

The policy was originally set to come into effect on October 30, however, the federal government announced it would grant a grace period to unvaccinated travellers allowing for a negative COVID-19 test to be provided within 72 hours of the trip.

As of November 30, travellers will no longer be allowed to submit a negative test result in place of proof of vaccination to board a plane or train in Canada.

The new travel restrictions for the unvaccinated come on the heels of the emergence of a new variant of concern (VOC) dubbed Omicron by the World Health Organization (WHO).

Cases involving the new variant, originally detected in South Africa, have been found in other countries including five cases within Canada.

Although there is not much known about the new variant at this time, the WHO confirmed scientists around the world are working to determine how the highly-mutated variant will affect transmissibility and severity of illness in the population.

Canada, along with other nations, closed its boards and expanded its screening protocols to travellers arriving from affected areas in southern Africa.

The Canadian airline industry welcomed the vaccine mandates when they were announced in October. Air Canada and West Jet have both confirmed they will be asking all travellers to produce proof of vaccination before boarding their carriers as of Tuesday.

While health measures such as masking and screening will still be required, no measures for quarantining individual travellers have been put in place with the exception of those who have travelled through or arrived from southern Africa.

“If you indicate to your airline or railway company that you’re eligible to board, but fail to provide proof of vaccination or valid COVID-19 test result, you won’t be allowed to travel and could face penalties or fines,” the government indicated in a statement.

The Canadian government is also warning permanent residents abroad to expect to provide vaccine passports to return home.

The rules don’t apply to commuter trains.

The Government of Canada has created a “reliable way to show proof of your COVID-19 vaccination history when travelling internationally and within Canada,” states the government’s website. The document is verified once uploaded to ArriveCAN upon returning to the country.

The website warns travellers are not guaranteed entry to another country with the documents and suggests checking the rules of your destination country and the countries you travel through.

“Today, Canada passed a sad milestone in its history,” said Matt Slatter, a pilot with a major Canadian airline and a founder of Free 2 Fly, a hub that has “Canadian aviation professionals standing with passengers in defence of freedom.”

“No longer can it hold itself as a beacon of freedom and liberal values.”

The Free 2 Fly website encourages passengers and airline workers who “feel strongly that the ability to travel should not be linked to vaccination status,” to sign up and join their movement.

“With the advent of mandates requiring all aviation and rail passengers to be vaccinated, Canada is now effectively a two-tier society,” said Slatter.

“On one tier, compliant citizens are afforded many of the rights they once enjoyed in a free society. While the other tier is essentially relegated to their own localities, with limited exception.

“History suggests this style of governance will only lead to more tragedy and heartbreak. The cure is inevitably worse than the disease. Will Canada learn from the mistakes of the past?”

Currently, there are just under 38,000 signed up on the Free 2 Fly site. One of the goals of the group is to “wage a legal campaign to block, and/or overturn, all vaccination mandates.”

Melanie Risdon is a reporter for the Western Standard
mrisdon@westernstandardonline.com

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News

CRTC trying to hang up on spoof calls

Caller ID spoofing occurs when callers hide or misrepresent their identity by displaying fictitious or altered phone numbers when making calls.

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All those calls from the taxman and Canadian Border Services officials threatening to arrest you could soon be coming to an end thanks to new regulations from the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission.

“Many Canadians are now able to determine which calls can be trusted thanks to a new technology aimed at combating spoofed calls named STIR/SHAKEN. Caller ID spoofing is frequently used in nuisance and fraudulent calls to mask the identity of the caller,” said the CRTC in a release.

“As of today, telecommunications service providers will certify whether a caller’s identity can be trusted by verifying the caller ID information for Internet Protocol-based voice calls. This new technology will help reduce the frequency and impact of caller ID spoofing. As service providers continue to upgrade their IP networks and offer compatible phones to their customers, more and more Canadians will be able to see the effects of STIR/SHAKEN.”

It’s believed up to 25% of all calls in Canada are scams.

The CRTC said Caller ID spoofing occurs when callers hide or misrepresent their identity by displaying fictitious or altered phone numbers when making calls.

“This new caller ID technology will empower Canadians to determine which calls are legitimate and worth answering, and which need to be treated with caution. As more providers upgrade their networks, STIR/SHAKEN will undoubtedly reduce spoofing and help Canadians regain peace of mind when answering phone calls,” said Ian Scott, CRTC CEO.

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