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New poll shows Liberals and Tories level heading into election

That is despite Conservative leader Erin O’Toole being disliked by more than half of Canadians – a figure higher than ever before.

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With an election looming, a new poll shows the governing Liberals and Conservatives are in a statistical tie.

A poll released by the Angus Reid Institute on Friday shows the parties most likely to end up forming government in a statistical tie – with the incumbent Liberals under leader Justin Trudeau a mere two points ahead of the Conservative Party led by Erin O’Toole (33% versus 31%). 

That’s despite O’Toole being disliked by more than half of Canadians – a figure higher than ever before.

The NDP remains in third place at 20%, with the Green Party (3%) and Bloc Quebecois (7%).

The poll shows the Liberals had been riding higher as their COVID-19 management was considered by most Canadians to be OK, but voters’ focus is now shifting to other issues.

“Replacing this issue in the public consciousness are matters of climate change, economic recovery, the size of the deficit, and indigenous issues, the latter of which has picked up notable traction in recent months,” the poll reported.

“And while issues may galvanize voters, they appear to be less inspired by the leaders in main contention. As the favourability of Trudeau and O’Toole decline, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh and Bloc Quebecois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet enjoy slight net positive favourability.

“As for the prospect of another Liberal victory – the nation is split. While few say they’d be “thrilled” (6%), a significant segment say it’s an outcome that would leave them “content” (33%). The rest are less sunny about it: one-quarter would be unhappy with that result (25%), while close to three-in-10 would be distraught (28%).”

Courtesy Angus Reid

Other key findings from Angus Reid: 

  • While the Liberal lead is slim, it is concentrated in key regions of the country. The party leads the CPC by four points in BC and Ontario, and is competitive with the BQ in Quebec, well ahead of the Conservatives.
  • Trudeau has an approval rating of 40% this quarter. Just 9% strongly approve of his performance, while 39% strongly disapprove.
  • Three-in-five Canadians (58%) have an unfavourable view of CPC leader Erin O’Toole, the highest level since he took over leadership of the party

The top issues in the campaign now are health care and climate change, the poll shows.

Courtesy Angus Reid

“The country, however, is not unified in its concern over the environment. Albertans are primarily concerned with the economy, the energy sector, and the federal deficit. Those in Saskatchewan also put these three issues at top of mind, while every other region of the country prioritizes climate change among its top three concerns. Conspicuously absent from the regional priorities list is COVID-19 response. That issue does not rank in the top three in any region of the country, the poll shows.

Courtesy Angus Reid

You can see the full poll here.

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard
dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com
Twitter.com/nobby769

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard and the Vice-President: News Division of Western Standard New Media Corp. He has served as the City Editor of the Calgary Sun and has covered Alberta news for nearly 40 years. dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com

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19 Comments

19 Comments

  1. Andrew

    July 24, 2021 at 8:40 pm

    There are two pollsters that refuse to poll Maverick! This Albertan will be voting Maverick.

  2. Alka

    July 24, 2021 at 7:30 pm

    PPC!

  3. Mars Hill

    July 20, 2021 at 11:23 pm

    I’m voting for the People Party led by the Quebec Cowboy…he get my vote hands down by default, I couldn’t in good conscious vote for anybody else.

  4. Declan Carroll

    July 19, 2021 at 11:55 pm

    Of course O’Toole and Trudeau are even there is no difference between either party. Liberals and Conservatives are the Canadian Uni-Party. Same as the Democrat and Republican Party. Two wings of the same bird. Both sell outs to the Party of Davos.

  5. K

    July 19, 2021 at 11:51 am

    Done voting for anything other than local or WIPA. Stick a fork in this country, it’s done.

  6. luigi

    July 18, 2021 at 2:59 pm

    Voting for libs, conservatives, independents, or ndp, is still part of the same hamster wheel. Free the west…. Through senate reform? Equalization? Lol. I can’t stop laughing!
    Canadian constitution or charter of rights? Should be named toilet paper tissue.
    Our own Canadian swamp desperately needs draining. Electing a different clown show in power in Ottawa will not change a single damn thing!

  7. berta baby

    July 18, 2021 at 2:34 pm

    Its a toss up for me PPC or Maverick . Otoole is trash and I won’t vote for any MP that runs for him

  8. RM

    July 18, 2021 at 2:02 pm

    The Liberals often are shown in a statistical ties with Conservatives around election time. They then go on to win a majority (the last election notwithstanding). I can’t help but suspect that this has more to do with getting the Liberal vote out in Ontario/Quebec urban areas than it does with accurate polling.

  9. Left Coast

    July 18, 2021 at 11:08 am

    @ Uddin . . . lol man . . .

    Mulroney was Pierre Trudope Light . . . he broke ALL his election promises and gave us the GST.

    Trump was the US President who created the Best US economy in 50 years. The LOWEST Minority Unemployment in HISTORY. An you never heard about it because you watch Global TV! And likely the reason the Wuhan Virus was released on the planet!
    ALL the Globalists were invested in China and Trump was crushing them . . . I know you and Justin are with the CCP.

    ALL extremists are of the LEFT my clueless friend . . .

  10. Kelly Carter

    July 18, 2021 at 10:16 am

    O’Toole’s platform is basically the Liberal platform just emphasis on different things and handing out different amounts of cash. No thanks! If I wanted Liberal policies I would vote Liberal or NDP. Maverick party for me!

  11. Nele

    July 18, 2021 at 9:32 am

    Vote for CPC, NDP or Liberals is just prolonging Status quo, lockdowns etc.

  12. CLAY STOWELL

    July 18, 2021 at 8:08 am

    i agree with John. we Must vote for the CPC because they are the only party with a hope in h__- of beating Trudeau at the election polls. Also in letting us own firearms.

  13. GS Uddin

    July 17, 2021 at 8:43 pm

    Whatever happened to Mulroney’s Conservatives? Moderate Righties with no racist or tribal loyalties, open to everyone.
    Now, conservatives are stuck between Christian Nationalists from the Cons to the White Nationalists from the PPC. Both completely crazy and fanatical losers. When will Alberta stop voting with lunatics and fanatical extremists? Maybe Trump is more their type?

  14. Steven

    July 17, 2021 at 2:22 pm

    It’s time for the https://www.maverickparty.ca/ to shine.

    The MAVERICK PARTY’s is the West’s only Federal Party. Their First goal is to get MAVERICK MPs elected to represent the West in Ottawa. No Maverick candidates will run East of the Manitoba/Ontario border. It’s a counter to O’Toole’s glad handing to Quebec. The West needs to be heard in Ottawa & the CPC is more interested in appeasing Quebec then representing the West or Alberta.

    I’ll be voting Maverick in Calgary in the next Federal Election.

  15. Westcanguy

    July 17, 2021 at 2:12 pm

    The CPC will not win because enough Conservatives have had it with the current leadership and will be voting PPC. Last election the PPC got 2% of the vote. Now, they are polling over 6% and the election hasn’t been called. Bernier is going across the country and working hard for votes. Shiny pony the the tool look for photo ops at the stampede.
    I’ll be voting PPC regardless of what some conservatives on here say about strategic voting. Among those two pathetic liberal and CPC losers, there is no better or worse.

  16. John Lankers

    July 17, 2021 at 12:34 pm

    As much as I appreciate Max and his PPC, every vote for him is indirectly going to Trudeau who is 10 x worse than the loser O’Toole.

  17. Bill Mccann

    July 17, 2021 at 9:58 am

    Why not list the PPC, they would hold the lions share of the 6%. Hmmm…could it be because 4% puts you in the debates? Poll corruption.

  18. Left Coast

    July 17, 2021 at 9:28 am

    Only two provinces in the entire country that actually Get It!

    Health Care & Klimate Change are their important issues when the Country is collapsing around them?
    Canada’s Cuba Style HC is only getting worse, throwing money at it does not work, the entire system is fatally flawed.
    Klimate Change is Fairy Dust . . . every 20 weeks China INCREASES Emissions by an amount equal to Canada’s ANNUAL Emissions . . . everything we do is just like throwing Billions of Dollars in a FIRE!

    Way past time for the West to LEAVE ! ! !

  19. CodexCoder

    July 17, 2021 at 9:19 am

    Neither Justine nor Errant Old Fool represent conservative values. And there are lies, damned lies and polls (my apologies to Samuel Clement)

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News

SLOBODIAN: Decade long investigation into Manitoba residential school involves nearly 100 officers and 700 interviews

The First Nation recently undertook a search of the site using ground-penetrating radar technology but has not released the results.

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A “large and complex” decade-long investigation by RCMP has been underway into allegations of sexual abuse at a former residential school in Manitoba’s Sagkeeng First Nation.


The Fort Alexander Residential School opened in 1905 on Sagkeeng First Nation, located 120-km north of Winnipeg. In 1970 it was converted to a day school that operated for several years.


Manitoba RCMP issued a press release Tuesday confirming the major crimes unit began looking into allegations of abuse in February 2010, then launched a formal criminal investigation the following year.


RCMP began by gathering information, including reviewing archival records in both Ottawa and Manitoba. They went through thousands of documents such as student and employee lists and quarterly returns.


This involved more than 80 officers who interacted with more than 700 people across North America in an effort to find possible victims and witnesses.


“After compiling and collating all this data, investigators developed an investigative plan that began with the canvassing of people whose names had been identified in the documents as well as a door-to-door canvas in the Powerview/Fort Alexander area, where the school had been located,” said the statement.


The criminal investigation launched in 2011 involved 75 formal witnesses and victim statements.
Recently, Sagkeeng Chief Derrick Henderson said elders and survivors have long spoken about abuse at the school and children that went missing.


The First Nation recently undertook a search of the site using ground-penetrating radar technology but has not released the results.


“Violation of the privacy rights of those involved in this investigation will not only cause further trauma to everyone involved, but also potentially compromise this highly sensitive investigation,” said Henderson. “We ask that the trauma our community has experienced and continues to live every day is respected and that those affected are afforded their privacy at this time.”

RCMP are working closely with First Nations leaders and no other criminal investigations into former residential schools are underway in Manitoba, said RCMP.

Slobodian is the Senior Manitoba Columnist for the Western Standard  lslobodian@westernstandardonline.com

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BC increases vaccine efforts amid slowing rates, including ‘vax vans’

“Over the next two weeks, BC will push hard to vaccinate as many eligible people as possible.”

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BC health officials want more people rolling up their sleeves for the COVID-19 shot, and say they will be increasing efforts in the coming weeks to do just that.

Dr. Bonnie Henry, Health Minister Adrian Dix, and Dr. Penny Ballem addressed BC’s vaccine roll-out plan during a Tuesday morning news conference.

Among their announced efforts are “walk-in Wednesday” which will take place August 4 when 20,000 jabs will be made available with no need to book in advance.

Walk-in Wednesday is part of the “Vax for BC” campaign.

“I’d like to begin by thanking each and every one of the millions of British Columbian’s, like me, who have stepped up to be vaccinated,” said Henry.

“Because of this small act, we have been able to re-open our province.

“While we have made tremendous progress with our immunization plan, there is of course more work to do. We know that some people still struggle to find a convenient time in their day to get immunized, and others may still have questions, and be hesitant about the vaccine.

“So starting today, we are making it even easier for people to get vaccines. To help protect themselves, and their loved ones against COVID-19.”

Henry said the province will be introducing “custom vax vans” so people will be able to get vaccinated on their lunch break or “while cooling off at a lake.”

The province is also reducing the wait time between first and second doses from eight weeks to seven weeks.

There are currently 906,772 eligible people who have not received a dose, roughly 19.6% of the population older than 12, according to data from July 23.

Interior health has an un-vaccinated population of 26.2% while Northern health has 32.5% without a first shot.

On Monday, the Surrey Board of Trade wrote a letter to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Health Minister of Canada Patty Hajdu, BC Premier John Horgan, and Minister of Health Adrian Dix urging them to “implement a proof-of-immunization model.”

“We support a centralized, Canada-wide approach to COVID-19 proof-of immunization that could be easily used to confirm vaccination status for international and domestic use,” said Anita Huberman, CEO, Surrey Board of Trade.

“Without inter-provincial harmonization, Canada risks a piecemeal approach, making life more difficult and unpredictable for individuals and employers during an already uncertain time.”

Last week, YVR airport implemented separate lines for vaccinated and un-vaccinated individuals prior to reaching customs.

The separation of lines – which was put in place as a federal policy – has since been removed following extensive public push-back.

As for enforcing proof-of-immunization policies at concerts, night clubs, and sporting events – an increasing number of British Columbian’s are cozying up to this idea.

Reid Small is a BC correspondent for the Western Standard
rsmall@westernstandardonline.com

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News

Feds silent on $120M loan to company not ‘worthy of taxpayers’ largesse”

Both CMHC and the Department of Social Development declined to respond to questions.

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Federal agencies yesterday remained mum about a $120 million housing loan to one of Canada’s wealthiest developers, after Cabinet earlier defended the loan as critical, said Blacklock’s Reporter.

“This project will help over 300 local families find rental housing units,” Ahmed Hussen, minister responsible for housing, told reporters. “That’s why the government is taking action to increase the supply of rental housing through projects like the one we’re announcing.”

Cabinet on July 19 announced the $120 million loan to build 302 apartments in Brampton, Ont. The developer is Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust. The company’s CEO was paid $3 million in salary and benefits last year, according to corporate filings.

“This project will help over 300 local families find rental housing units,” Hussen’s department said in a statement. “A solid and reliable supply of rental housing is critical to ensuring more Canadians have access to housing that is affordable.”

Choice Properties is owned by George Weston Ltd. The developer’s 2020 net income totaled $451 million. The loan was approved through a federal program, the Rental Construction Financing Initiative, that extends 10-year, easy-term credit “for certainty during the most risky periods of development,” according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation.

Both CMHC and the Department of Social Development declined to respond to questions. The news website Press Progress cited data from Canada Mortgage and Housing that of 302 apartments in the Brampton project, as few as 61 would rent at below-market rates. The building is scheduled for completion by 2023.

“We know that finding an affordable place to live is a challenge for many Canadians in communities across the country,” Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said at the time. “Today’s announcement is great news for families in Brampton. The Government of Canada will continue to invest to increase affordable housing options.”

George Weston Ltd. reported net earnings of $1.6 billion last year. It also operates the Loblaw Companies Ltd. supermarket chain that in 2019 received a $12 million federal grant to install new freezers. “Canadians might wonder why the Liberals handed over $12 million to Loblaw’s, one of Canada’s richest companies,” Conservative MP Mark Strahl (Chilliwack-Hope, B.C.) earlier told the Commons.

The freezer grant was paid under a Low Carbon Economy Fund. A now-disbanded ecoEnergy program similarly paid grants to large corporations in the name of energy efficiency.

Sobeys Inc. received $1.48 million in ecoEnergy grants in the period from 2006 to 2013. Loblaw Companies received $801,000. A total $207,968 was paid to McDonald’s Restaurants and $153,960 to Sears Canada.

“These companies are flush,” Liberal MP John McKay (Scarborough-Guildwood, Ont.) said in an interview at the time. “Companies, given their financial statements, don’t seem to be worthy recipients of taxpayers’ largesse.”

Mike D’Amour is the British Columbia Bureau Chief for the Western Standard.
mdamour@westernstandardonline.com

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