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Oops – PHA hoped pandemic would just fade away

Instead, COVID-19 blew up into a second wave that tripled the number of death and prompted lockdowns across the country.




An internal Public Health Agency (PHA) memo last July 31 said it hoped the COVID-19 pandemic would just peter out, says Blacklock’s Reporter.

Instead, COVID-19 blew up into a second wave that tripled the number of death and prompted lockdowns across the country.

“We need to strike the right balance,” the PHA wrote in the memo.

“When we lift restrictive measures, e.g. reopen schools and businesses, we must maintain and ensure implementation in newly reopened settings of other recommended public health measures, e.g. personal physical distancing, to maintain epidemic control.”

Managers called it a “slow burn” scenario. The object of the memo was to “outline a COVID-19 risk management strategy that supports safe reopening, living with COVID-19 and planning for long term recovery.”

The PHA cited “weekly trends” indicating the death rate had declined 45%.

“Hospitalizations are leveling off in recent weeks,” wrote staff.

The “slow burn” was a “reasonable best case scenario,” said the memo.

“First peak of COVID-19 in Spring 2020 is followed by a ‘slow burn’ (slow, steady, relatively low activity) of ongoing transmission and case occurrence, but not without peaks and valleys. No more than 10% of Canadians are infected by the end of 2021.”

Deaths at the time numbered 8,949. Deaths have since risen to more than 26,000 following a devastating second wave of infections that grew within days of the July 31 memo. Infection rates more than doubled from August 14 to September 22 and kept on rising.

Dr. Theresa Tam, chief public health officer, in September 22 remarks to reporters acknowledged the more deadly second wave was underway. “The national daily case count has been increasing at an accelerated rate,” said Tam.

“This acceleration in epidemic growth is concerning and the situation will continue to escalate unless further public health and individuals’ protective measures are strengthened. We recognize how tiring all of this is.”

The PHA in a 2006 pandemic master plan had predicted a coronavirus would originate in Asia, that “it is unlikely an effective vaccine will be available,” and that successive waves of infection would roll through the population lasting six to eight weeks at a time.

“The pandemic will last 12 to 18 months and more than one wave may occur within a 12-month period,” said the plan.

The last pandemic in Canada, the H1N1 “swine flu” virus, lasted from April 26, 2009 to January 27, 2010 though doctors had a vaccine. Two successive waves of infection affected 40,185 people, sent 8,678 to hospital and killed 428 Canadians.

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard and the Vice-President: News Division of Western Standard New Media Corp. He has served as the City Editor of the Calgary Sun and has covered Alberta news for nearly 40 years. dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com

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  1. Dennis

    June 25, 2021 at 11:45 am

    Left Coast nailed it. The media, including this one are as much a part of this fraud as anyone.

  2. Left Coast

    June 22, 2021 at 8:46 am

    And the rest of the story . . .
    the vast majority of the Deceased were well into their 70s and older and most had co-morbidities.

    Dr. Tam dropped the ball . . . instead of promoting the “China” Method, she & her Provincial cohorts should have looked after the Seniors Population, especially in Care Homes & other Seniors Residence.

    Why did they not promote HCQ, Ivermectin, Zinc supplements & Vitamins C & D to the population to keep them from getting seriously ill and having to go to hospital?
    Almost every citizen that died was Vitamin D deficient.

    Instead of following the Science . . . our feckless Health Department & clueless Politicians shut down the Economy, except for the Big Donors like Costco, Safeway & Wallymart . . . Told people they must wear useless Masks and stand 6 feet apart. None of this support by real Science.
    Then they locked the Healthy Population in their Homes . . . in spite of the fact that 14 months ago we knew that their chances of dying from the Virus was only .5% . . . they closed the Schools because the under 18 population had a near ZERO chance of dying from the Virus. I suspect the Teachers never missed a payday . . .
    Then they repeated this scenario 3 or 4 times . . . in spite of the Fact that we knew ALL transmission was Indoors . . . and of course Crushed any Cdn Dr. that had a different take or wanted to talk about Science.

    The Media of course pushed Fear & Scare as Provincial Health Depts. used a PCR Test, a Forensic Tool whose Nobel Prize winning inventor said was NOT a Diagnostic Tool, to gin up “Cases” by the thousands. No one in the Media asked how many of these “Cases” became sick or went to hospital. I know the answer to that . . . likely ZERO!

    Many folks are waking up to the fact today that we have been played by our Political Class and their clueless underlings. Likely, close to 10 Million Canooks have natural immunity today from coming in contact with the Virus.

    Not ONE Provincial Premier acted like an informed Leader during the last 18 months, the worst being Ford, but Kenny, Pallister, Horgan are a close second. I am still amazed that none of them were remotely interested in how other jurisdictions like Sweden, South Dakota, Florida, Texas & Taiwan had taken a different approach and were doing much better. Instead they crushed their economies and created untold casualties which if they are ever added up will dwarf the Wuhan Virus numbers.

    Nothing was more Insane than shutting down Churches . . . for 1000s of people this is their anchor in their lives, Churches provide many services that would have benefitted many during this insanity . . . but evidently sitting in a Pew “social distancing” is Dangerous in a Church but not in Costco . . . and arresting Pastors was Gestapo Tactics, officials responsible should resign, hopefully Lawsuits to come.

    Had Cdn Politicians just looked after the Seniors Population & those with Serious Health Issues and left the rest of the population alone . . . we would be far better off today with Herd Immunity, an intact Economy and many 1000s would still be with us . . . the untold casualties of the insane Lockdowns.

  3. Penny4YourThouhts

    June 22, 2021 at 7:11 am

    I feel sad for you Mr. Naylor. Clearly, you have been fooled into thinking and believing there actually IS a pandemic when the statistics show the past two years have been NO DIFFERENT than any other FLU year. You continue to get your information from the very sources that are spreading the PROPAGANDA – Blacklock. Perhaps you should look into your source and find out who actually funds them. If you dare to look under the rock you just might find the source of cancel culture, BLM, Antifa, and every other leftist BS topic designed to keep us all fighting with one another.

  4. d.r.cmolloy@gmail.com

    June 22, 2021 at 6:56 am

    How long will sane people listen to the bull and tune her out. Count me in that group.

  5. Baron Not Baron

    June 22, 2021 at 6:30 am

    Honestly how can you publish such rubbish? This plandemic is like the emperor’s new clothes: everybody pretends it is there so as to not look stupid. Well, it ISN’T there.

  6. David

    June 21, 2021 at 11:12 pm

    Rubbish. There was never any need for social distancing or masks. Both useless!

    Rather like warning you of a vehicle intending to use a turn light ahead. Yup, sure as elephants eat peanuts the turn light blinks.

    A mask doesn’t keep the light at bay. Neither does keeping your distance. The dam light blinks weather you see it or not.

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BC removes capacity limits in some areas, but only if you’re double vaccinated

The change comes into effect October 25, and it applies to indoor sporting events, concerts, theatres, weddings, funeral receptions outside of a funeral home, and organized parties.




British Columbia will be seeing some restrictions eased for those who have can prove two doses of vaccination against COVID-19.

Provincial Health Officer Dr. Bonnie Henry announced Tuesday that capacity limits for events and gatherings throughout much of the province — where proof-of-vaccination is required — will be lifted.

The change comes into effect October 25, and it applies to indoor sporting events, concerts, theatres, weddings, funeral receptions outside of a funeral home, and organized parties.

Health officials will also be removing the requirement to stay seated at restaurants.

The changes do not apply to regional restrictions in effect in Interior Health, Northern Health, and eastern Fraser Valley.

Personal gatherings, both indoor and outdoor, are restricted to fully vaccinated people throughout the Northern Health region, with the exception of Terrace, Kitimat, Haida Gwaii, Prince Rupert, Stikine, and the Nisga’a areas.

Indoor mask requirements remain in effect for all indoor gatherings and events.

Reid Small is a BC correspondent for the Western Standard

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WORLD WATCH: U.K. warns of new COVID variant as cases rise yet Japan numbers plummet

Experts are taking a close look at AY.4.2. to see how much of a threat it may pose, but say it is not yet considered a “variant of concern”.




News reports out of the U.K. are linking an uptick in cases to a new variant that “could be 10 times more infectious than Delta,” yet Japan is seeing some of their lowest case counts since this time last year.

According to the latest official data out of the U.K., an increase in COVID-19 cases includes a genetically sequenced variant labelled AY.4.2 accounting for 6% of new cases.

Graph courtesy worldometers.info

The new strain, some call “Delta Plus”, is said to contain mutations that could give the virus “survival advantages” and could make it more contagious.

Experts are taking a close look at AY.4.2. to see how much of a threat it may pose, but say it is not yet considered a “variant of concern”.

Meanwhile, reports from Japan say a very different narrative where cases have mysteriously plummeted over the last two months.

Low case rates have not been the norm in Japan throughout the pandemic. However, despite the 2020 Summer Olympics being postponed to the summer of 2021 and Japan seeing some of the highest COVID-19 case rates in the world at times, the country has never implemented any full lockdowns.

Over the last two months, rates in Japan went from over 26,121 new cases recorded on August 22 to 494 new cases as of Monday.

Graph courtesy worldometers.info

Some are crediting the incredible turnaround to a late but rapid uptake in vaccinations. Others say it could have something to do with bad August weather in the latter part of the month that kept people home.

Officials are still trying to determine the cause of the huge decline in cases and experts are warning Japan could face another surge with the gradual waning of vaccine efficacy as well as heading into the colder winter months.

Melanie Risdon is a reporter with the Western Standard

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EXCLUSIVE: Chu vows not to resign, apologizes and speaks out on allegations

Chu speaks out after allegations against him come to light.




Embattled Calgary Councillor Sean Chu says he has no intention of resigning, but has apologized to a woman he had a sexual encounter with 24 years ago.

“I’m sorry, I didn’t mean any harm,” Chu told the Western Standard in an exclusive interview on Tuesday.

City of Calgary officials confirmed Chu won the election race in Ward 4 by a mere 52 votes after allegations surfaced last week of his involvement in August of 1997 with a girl who was just 16 at the time.

“This was nothing but a political assassination,” said Chu.

Chu, who has represented Ward 4 since 2013, also fired back at some media reports which he claims were completely wrong.

Chu said he met the unidentified girl at a pub near Macleod Tr. and 94 Ave. S and not the Husky House restaurant downtown that some media had reported.

“Because it was a licensed establishment I thought the girl was at least 18 years old,” said Chu, who was in uniform with his partner at the time.

“I was single at the time and I thought some girl liked me.”

The Western Standard cannot confirm at this time if there is documentary evidence the encounter was at the Husky House or at the pub on Macleod Tr.

At some point in their interaction, Chu caressed the girl’s leg, an incident that later earned him a letter of reprimand on his file.

Chu said the girl seemed interested in him so when he was off duty he changed into civilian clothes and went back to the pub to meet the girl.

The evening continued with Chu and the girl eventually heading to his home.

Once there, the pair “started kissing and hugging, but there was no intercourse,” said Chu.

Chu admits there was “some touching underneath clothes”.

“She then said she wanted to go home and I drove her straight there.”

Chu denied media reports that a gun was produced during the evening at his home. He said he checked his service weapon in at the police’s traffic office when he signed off duty.

At one point Chu said he owned a shotgun, but denied that weapon was ever produced or shown in any way that night.

“If there had been a gun involved there would have been charges,” said Chu.

The Western Standard has not seen any documents that indicate the presence or absence of a firearm on the evening in question.

Chu said he does not drink alcohol, but added he didn’t know if the girl had been drinking.

After the incident, the girl reported the case to city police claiming she was sexually assaulted. That lead to nine years of investigations, court battles and appeals, with news of the case only leaking last week, days before the civil election.

There were never any sexual assault or weapons charges laid, and Chu says the letter of reprimand was the only discipline that came out of the entire process.

Documents obtained by the Western Standard and other media indicate that the woman claimed the whole process was a “cover-up.”

Chu served as a Calgary police officer from 1992 until he was elected in 2013.

Chu is now at the centre of a political storm with friends and supporters deserting him.

Premier Jason Kenney described the allegations as “appalling” but said he didn’t think there was any way for the province to remove a councillor who han’t been convicted under the Criminal Code.

He said he would be happy to meet with Mayor-Elect Jyoti Gondek to discuss the situation.

Kenney said as much of the legal documents are under seal, it’s up to Chu to prove his innocence.

Calgary-Nose Hill MP Michelle Rempel Garner tweeted her disgust at the incident.

“I have supported Mr. Chu in the past, but firmly withdraw all such support in light of these reports. Believing women means walking the talk,” she tweeted.

“In light of the disciplinary action, as a result of inappropriate contact with a minor which has been reported by CBC Calgary, MP Rempel Garner is formally withdrawing her endorsement of Councillor Sean Chu and he is no longer a member of her Constituency Association.”

Rempel Garner tweet

Now Chu said he is looking at his legal options and a possible defamation suit over some of what he called the false reporting.

“I have always told the truth. My reputation is important to me and now my family is hurting,” said Chu.

Chu said he wouldn’t comment on remarks made by Gondek that she will try and remove him from council.

“I will continue to tell the truth at council and will be a fiscal hawk,” he said.

“The most important thing is I told the truth and the truth will prevail.”

It appears any bid to try and remove Chu would fail because he was not charged or convicted criminally.

Calgary police released a statement Monday about its investigation in 1997. It states:

“We want to reassure Calgarians that when this matter came to light in 1997 it was taken seriously by the Service and managed in accordance with the Police Act. This has been a complex legal matter with multiple complaints and investigations as well as appeals to the Alberta Law Enforcement Review Board. One of those decisions was overturned by the Alberta Court of Appeal. Ultimately, one allegation of misconduct was sustained through our internal disciplinary process.”

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard

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