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Third of Albertans & majority of UCP voters back Western independence, shyer about going it alone

The percentage of people supporting independence jumps significantly if the other three Western provinces join in.

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A new poll conducted by Mainstreet Research for the Western Standard says more than one-third (36 per cent) of Albertans would vote for independence if all four western provinces moved toward it together, while 59 per cent would vote to remain in confederation.

Albertans were shyer about going it alone without her neighbours, however, with 25 per cent saying they would vote for independence, and 71 per cent voting to stay.

The poll of 1,003 adults has a margin of error of +/- 3.09 per cent and a 95 per cent confidence level.

Mainstreet President and CEO Quito Maggi said the 25 per cent independence support result for Alberta ‘alone’ was higher than previous polls by the company.

“After 2015, support was in the teens, then other polls show it had entered the 20s, but this is the first time at 25 per cent. It’s pretty significant,” Maggi said.

Mainstreet Research poll for Western Standard All rights Reserved.

Maggi said the increase in support for the Western independence was likely due to external factors beyond the control of most Albertans.

“Many Albertans currently don’t feel like they are masters of their own domain or of their future,” Maggi said, adding control over their resource development was likely one of the main factors.

Support for Western or Alberta independence cut sharply along partisan and regional lines.



Unsurprisingly, federalist support was strongest among current NDP voters with 88 per cent opposed to Western independence, and near unanimous opposition to Alberta independence at 95 per cent.

By contrast, UCP voters are sharply divided over the issue, with 45 per cent backing Alberta independence, and 49 per cent opposed. If all four Western provinces voted on independence together, 64 per cent of UCP voters would yes, and 33 per cent would vote no.

Maggi said that Premier Jason Kenney has done a strong job of keeping his party together to date despite the stark divide on the issue, but it remains a major point of risk for him.

Among Wildrose Independence Party voters, 69 per cent would vote for an independent Alberta, and a surprising 30 per cent would vote against. On Western independence, 78 per cent of Wildrose voters would vote to leave, and 21 per cent would vote to stay.

In a poll from the same sample released this past Friday by the Western Standard, UCP support collapsed to 26 per cent while the NDP surged to 41 per cent and the Wildrose to 9 per cent.

Mainstreet Research poll for the Western Standard All rights reserved.

As could be expected, support for independence was strongest outside of the two big cities, and weakest in Edmonton.

Outside of Calgary and Edmonton, support for Alberta independence ran at 35 per cent, and 60 per cent in opposition. The Western independence question was backed by 47 per cent and opposed by 49 per cent.

In Edmonton, just 15 per cent back Alberta independence with 79 per cent opposed, and 25 per cent would support an independent West, and 68 per cent would not.

Calgary as expected was between Edmonton and the regions, with 21 per cent supporting Alberta going it alone and 78 per cent wanting to stay, and 32 per cent backing Western independence, and 64 against.

This is Part Four of a series of Mainstreet polls commissioned by the Western Standard. The full details and methodology of the poll can be found here.

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard
dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com
Twitter.com/nobby7694

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard and the Vice-President: News Division of Western Standard New Media Corp. He has served as the City Editor of the Calgary Sun and has covered Alberta news for nearly 40 years. dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com

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13 Comments

13 Comments

  1. working ant

    January 17, 2021 at 7:30 am

    This is an interesting result..Manitobans need to sit up and take notice!

  2. Cytotoxic

    January 16, 2021 at 3:00 pm

    I’m honestly surprised it’s even that high given the how many of the arguments made for separation are not good and that too many of its supporters are dumb yahoos.

    Not surprised that enthusiasm picks up when you include other provinces, but it’s completely unhelpful. “Western separatism” isn’t a thing. There’s only Albertan separatism and just barely at 25%. The others aren’t leaving any time soon and if they do it’s because someone else ie Alberta goes first and demonstrates that it can be pretty great.

    Further, there is absolutely no benefit to Alberta in unifying with Manitoba or worse Saskatchewan, the latter being a particularly fetid swamp of crown corporations. Those two really don’t bring anything to the game. Sorry guys. At least the Yukon or Northern BC or the right chunk of the territories brings ocean access.

  3. Guest

    January 13, 2021 at 10:51 pm

    I think that’s a good start for Alberta.

    Yes we need more autonomy from Ottawa & the Laureation Elites of Quebec. If Premier Kenney word is good Alberta will have a referendum in 2021 on the despicable wealth transfer process. Followed up by referendums on an Albertan Pension Plan, Alberta Provincial Police Force, Alberta Immigration, Alberta’s own Tax Revenue Department.

    Premier Kenney is on thin ice with many UPC members. So he may not last as Premier and someone else will have to take Alberta to the next step. Maybe Danielle Smith will take a run for the Premiership?

    I am hoping the Alberta Wild Rose Party will continue to grow in Alberta. Looking forward to to Oct 2021.

  4. John

    January 13, 2021 at 8:39 pm

    One reason why support is still low is the MSM still doing everything to villanize the movement or simply ignore the topic.

    • Guest

      January 13, 2021 at 10:56 pm

      Main Stream Media in Alberta do what they are told by the Millionaire owners in Eastern Canada.

      Only way a Conservative can have a debate with the NDP or a Liberal is to bring a box of Kleenex for them.

    • Cytotoxic

      January 16, 2021 at 2:55 pm

      They are villainizing themselves. More intellectuals, fewer yahoos please.

  5. Charles Martell III

    January 13, 2021 at 1:19 pm

    Edmonton is a hotbed of the NDP . . . the marxist/socialist party.
    The low intellect handout class . . .

    Those who wish to stay are obviously happy helping fun Billions in bonuses for Keybec . . . as Alberta has done for many, many decades.

    Texas is also kicking around the idea of leaving now that the CCP is about to take over the White House.
    Imagine a new country from Texas to Alaska with many midwest states from Texas to Montana, throw in Alberta, Sask & Yukon . . . it would be unstoppable.

    The coasts could be left to die . . . if you’ve been to LA or Portland or Seattle recently the rot is obvious even to a Leftist.

    • Guest

      January 13, 2021 at 10:54 pm

      Take the Legislator out of Edmonton and put it where it was first suppose to be Conservative Red Deer, Alberta.

    • Cytotoxic

      January 16, 2021 at 2:52 pm

      The coasts are where much of the prosperity and research is. Those midwestern flyover states-besides Texas and Alberta-have really nothing to offer.

  6. godot

    January 13, 2021 at 11:26 am

    If Alberta waits around until all four western provinces agree to Western Independence, it will never happen.
    Most Albertans know that declaring independence is the right course of action. In life, we have to have the courage of our convictions and act accordingly.
    WILDROSE INDEPENDENCE PARTY OF ALBERTA

    • Cytotoxic

      January 16, 2021 at 2:55 pm

      “If Alberta waits around until all four western provinces agree to Western Independence, it will never happen.”

      Probably true.

      “Most Albertans know that declaring independence is the right course of action. ”

      The poll data contraindicates this statement.

  7. Allen

    January 13, 2021 at 9:10 am

    This province has an ideological sickness from within—NDP voters—And I don’t see them changing their opinions. It’s been said that if you’re not a liberal by the time you’re 20, you don’t have a heart, but if you’re not ‘conservative’ by the time you’re 30, you don’t have a brain.

    • Cytotoxic

      January 16, 2021 at 3:00 pm

      1) Stop subsidizing higher education

      2) Start ‘de-nationalizing’ primary and secondary education ex Charter and private schools, homeschooling

      3) Hundreds of millions of immigrants in short order

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News

Penticton joins list of cities cancelling Canada Day celebtations

The mayor reached out to Chief Greg Gabriel of the Penticton Indian Band, to ask how council could support the local First Nations community following the Kamloops discovery.

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The city of Penticton has become the second municipality in BC to cancel Canada Day festivites.

Celebrating Canada Day has been called into question across the country after the discovery of the gravesites of 215 undocumented children at a Kamloops residential school.

“When we heard what happened in Kamloops and they found the 215 unmarked graves of those children, we thought it was appropriate to hold back and wait to see what the federal government was going to announce,” Mayor John Vassilaki told CBC.

The mayor reached out to Chief Greg Gabriel of the Penticton Indian Band, to ask how council could support the local First Nations community following the Kamloops discovery.

“The Chief also made a note that if we were to cool down the celebrations this year, it would be greatly appreciated by the Penticton Indian Band,” said Vassilaki. 

“And we wanted to show respect and reconciliation with what happened in Kamloops.”

St. Albert this weekend became the first city in Alberta to cancel celebrations.

“In respect of our community members who have experienced and continue to experience the effects of intergenerational trauma due to the residential school system, the City of St. Albert will not be hosting its annual Canada Day fireworks display this year,” it said in a tweet.

The city of Victoria was the first out of the block when they cancelled their Canada Day programing last week.

“As First Nations mourn and in light of the challenging moment we are in as a Canadian nation following the discovery of the remains of 215 children at a former Kamloops Residential School, Council has decided to take the time to explore new possibilities, instead of the previously planned virtual Canada Day broadcast,” said Victoria Mayor Lisa Helps in a media statement.

City council, who voted unanimously to change its plans for July 1, noted everyone will celebrate Canada Day in their own way.

“The City of Victoria aims to take leadership and provide an opportunity for thoughtful reflection and examination of what it means to be Canadian in light of recent events and what we already know from our past,” says the City of Victoria in a release.

Helps also made headlines in 2018 when she had a statue of Sir John A. Macdonald – one of the central figures involved in bringing residential schools into Canada – removed from the front of Victoria City Hall.

An estimated 150,000 First Nations, Inuit and Métis children attended residential schools between the 1860s and 1996, according to the Truth and Reconciliation Commission.

The Kamloops Industrial School (later known as the Kamloops Indian Residential School) was opened under Roman Catholic administration in 1890 before growing into the largest school in the Indian Affairs residential school system.

While several Catholic bishops across Canada have apologized and requested the release of documents in response to the discovery in Kamloops, the Vatican has yet to issue an apology or release documents.

As for the Canadian government, 15 tons of paper documents related to the residential school system between 1936 and 1944, including 200,000 Indian Affairs files, were destroyed by Liberal Prime Minister William Lyon Mackenzie King’s government, according to the Truth and Reconciliation Final Report.

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard
dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com
Twitter.com/nobby7694

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News

St. Albert cancels Canada Day fireworks

Celebrating Canada Day has been called into question across the country after the discovery of the gravesites of 215 undocumented children at a Kamloops residential school.

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The city of St. Albert has become the first municipality in Alberta to cancel some Canada Day celebrations.

“In respect of our community members who have experienced and continue to experience the effects of intergenerational trauma due to the residential school system, the City of St. Albert will not be hosting its annual Canada Day fireworks display this year,” it said in a tweet.

Celebrating Canada Day has been called into question across the country after the discovery of the gravesites of 215 undocumented children at a Kamloops residential school.

The city of Victoria was the first out of the block when they cancelled their Canada Day programing last week.

“As First Nations mourn and in light of the challenging moment we are in as a Canadian nation following the discovery of the remains of 215 children at a former Kamloops Residential School, Council has decided to take the time to explore new possibilities, instead of the previously planned virtual Canada Day broadcast,” said Victoria Mayor Lisa Helps in a media statement.

City council, who voted unanimously to change its plans for July 1, noted everyone will celebrate Canada Day in their own way.

“The City of Victoria aims to take leadership and provide an opportunity for thoughtful reflection and examination of what it means to be Canadian in light of recent events and what we already know from our past,” says the City of Victoria in a release.

Helps also made headlines in 2018 when she had a statue of Sir John A. Macdonald – one of the central figures involved in bringing residential schools into Canada – removed from the front of Victoria City Hall.

An estimated 150,000 First Nations, Inuit and Métis children attended residential schools between the 1860s and 1996, according to the Truth and Reconciliation Commission.

The Kamloops Industrial School (later known as the Kamloops Indian Residential School) was opened under Roman Catholic administration in 1890 before growing into the largest school in the Indian Affairs residential school system.

While several Catholic bishops across Canada have apologized and requested the release of documents in response to the discovery in Kamloops, the Vatican has yet to issue an apology or release documents.

As for the Canadian government, 15 tons of paper documents related to the residential school system between 1936 and 1944, including 200,000 Indian Affairs files, were destroyed by Liberal Prime Minister William Lyon Mackenzie King’s government, according to the Truth and Reconciliation Final Report.

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard
dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com
Twitter.com/nobby7694

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News

BREAKING: Alberta to drop all COVID restrictions on Canada Day

Premier Jason Kenney announced Friday the province has reached the targets to launch Stage 3 which was a vaccination rate of 70.2% in the province.

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It’s all systems go for Alberta to launch into Stage 3 of its COVID-19 recovery plan.

Premier Jason Kenney announced Friday the province has reached the targets to launch Stage 3, which included a vaccination rate of 70.2% in the province.

He said Alberta will drop all COVID-19 regulations on July 1 and “our lives will get back to normal.”

That means:

  • All restrictions lifted, including ban on indoor social gatherings
  • Isolation requirements for confirmed cases of COVID-19 and some protective measures in continuing care settings remain

“This is a great day for Alberta! Thanks to the diligence of Albertans and the decision of 2.7 million folks to get vaccinated, we are now just two weeks away from getting our lives back to normal,” said Kenney at a Friday press conference.

“This is an important milestone and a great achievement, but we will not stop here. We will keep administering first and second doses as quickly as possible so we’re not just open for summer, but open for good.”

Kenney said the general indoor provincial mask mandate will be lifted, but masking may still be required in limited and specific settings.

And the mayors of Calgary and Edmonton have said they may continue with their municipal mask bylaws.

“With more than 70% of eligible Albertans now vaccinated with a first dose and more receiving second doses every day, the end of this pandemic is near,” said Health Minister Tyler Shandro.

“Thank you to the Albertans who have rolled up their sleeves to get protected. For those who are still thinking about getting a shot, you have only one week to get your shot before we draw for $1 million and other great prizes.”

Anyone in Alberta aged 18 and over can still enter the first Open for Summer Lottery draw for a chance to win $1 million. Registration closes at 11:59 p.m. on June 24 and proof of vaccination will be required to claim the prize. The winner will be announced on July 1.

Dave Naylor is the News Editor of the Western Standard
dnaylor@westernstandardonline.com
Twitter.com/nobby7694

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We the undersigned call on the Canadian government to immediately cease all payouts to media companies.

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