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For a Western & Conservative party, there isn’t a standard-bearer of either

2017 saw Westerners who wished they were conservatives (Andrew Scheer) and conservatives wishing they were Westerners (Maxime Bernier), 2020 will see a likely coronation of an Eastern progressive.

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For a party founded on the Western rightist traditions of Stephen Harper, Stockwell Day, and Preston Manning, it sure looks like there won’t be any major candidate carrying the banner of either in the next Conservative Party of Canada leadership race.

With Rona Ambrose out, she shut the door on the last big Western name to be floated. With Pierre Polievre out, he shut the door on the last big rightist name in consideration. What’s left of the (big name) candidates are exclusively Eastern, and markedly more centrist.

While 2017 saw Westerners who wished they were conservatives (Andrew Scheer) and conservatives wishing they were Westerners (Maxime Bernier), 2020 will see a likely coronation of an Eastern progressive.

Peter Mackay has had a successful law career outside of politics – insulating himself from the label of career politician – but he has spent the better part of two decades in elected office, and comes from Atlantic Canadian Tory royalty. He isn’t the bleeding Red Tory hue of Joe Clark or Alison Redford, but he comes very much from the Eastern PC tradition.

He will be aware of Western and conservative suspicions of him, so it’s a good bet that he will breath some fire, during the leadership race at least.

Unless another unsuspected candidate jumps into the race, his only major opposition is likely to come from Erin O’Toole, who placed a strong third in the 2017 leadership. O’Toole has yet to define himself clearly. He was a competent minister in the Harper government and proved adept at recruiting a large contingent of his caucus mates to support his bid last time, but he was viewed as a compromise candidate between Milquetoast Scheer and Max Max Bernier. Unless he can stake out new ground as the standard bearer of the West and the party’s conservative and libertarian wings, he will likely fade into the background as Peter Mackay strolls to an easy victory.

Without even a fight from a major Western or rightist candidate, the party is likely to resemble Brian Mulroney’s PCs more then Stephen Harper’s CPC. And for many Tory partisans and pundits, this is a good thing. Under Mulroney, the Tories triumphed in every corner of the country, including Quebec. They formed two massive majority government and passed the landmark Canada-US Free Trade Agreement. But they also spent two-thirds of their time pandering to Quebec’s every need, and running up deficits that nearly bankrupted the country.

However close Mackay intends to tack towards the centrist-PC legacy, he will almost certainly do so less than Jean Charest would have if given the chance.

Peter Mackay is a smart politician and has seen the East-West, PC-Reform split up close, and will be keen to avoid it again. He would be well advised to have a Westerner serve as a strong deputy that is more than an affirmative-action token. If he is successful at taking the top job, he will come in at precisely the time that Westerners are most discontented with not just politics, but federalism itself.

Andrew Scheer was able to hold Western support firm – despite not doing much for it – because he was a Westerner. He was given the benefit of the doubt despite using double-sided language on Energy East when he spoke French, keeping the status quo on Equalization, or committing to only roll back a small portion of Trudeau’s carbon tax. As language issues do with Quebec leaders, Andrew Scheer was given a home field advantage without doing all that much to earn it.

Peter Mackay could conceivably keep every policy position adopted by Andrew Scheer, but may have to work harder to keep the same support. Then again, Tory partisans used to voting for a blue sign post may not care what it stands for other than winning. It’s happened often enough.

None of this is to say that Mackay is destined to be a Mulroney-clone out to plunder the West. He may truly understand the weight the West is under, and come cap-in-hand with an offer of constitutional reform. But probably not.

The shape of the race as it enters its first official week shows a most unlikely of scenarios: A party with its base in the West and on the right, has no clear standard-bearer of either.

Derek Fildebrandt is the Publisher of the Western Standard and the President of Wildrose Media Corp.

Derek Fildebrandt is the Publisher, President & CEO of Western Standard New Media Corp. He served from 2015-2019 as a Member of the Alberta Legislative Assembly in the Wildrose and Freedom Conservative Parties. From 2009-2012 he was the National Research Director and Alberta Director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation. dfildebrandt@westernstandardonline.com

Opinion

PARKER: Kenney is the wolf in sheep’s clothing

“Alberta conservatives were deceived by one of Canada’s greatest political showmen. He bought a new blue truck, put on a cowboy hat, and sang us a Siren’s song.” – David Parker, Guest Columnist

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Guest Column: David Parker was the Regional Organizer for Central Alberta on the 2017 Jason Kenney Leadership Campaign and GOTV Membership Chair of the Wildrose Unity Campaign

In the Book of Matthew, Jesus gives his followers a warning, “Watch out for false prophets. They come to you in sheep’s clothing, but inwardly they are ferocious wolves” (Matthew 7:15). Whether you are a Christian, follow another creed, or simply a person who cares about freedom, we should always pay attention to those who claim to be prophets. Jason Kenney came to Alberta as a kind of secular prophet. He claimed that he would unite the Wildrose and PC parties, restore the Alberta Advantage, defeat Ottawa, and lead his people back to the proverbial Promised Land. 

Now, he puts preachers in jail, destroys small businesses, takes on record levels of debt, and fills our province with fear. 

Even worse, he is not a leader. His true talents lay in being the right-hand man to a leader; but he has proven himself unable to make clear decisions or even adhere to any real comprehensive set of principles. He claims to be a conservative; but he has his government buy up and subsidize private businesses with record levels of corporate welfare. He says he is a man of faith (and he probably is); but he crushes those who wish to practice their faith in a manner that disagrees with his government’s authoritarian policies. 

This is evident from many angles; but the most obvious example of it is how he ran nominations. He is an authoritarian. I was the campaign manager for Rita Reich’s nomination race in Lacombe – Ponoka (one of Kenney’s staunchest supporters during both the PC and UCP leadership races). He disqualified her over a single Facebook post that said Hitler was actually a socialist. That was it, it did not praise Hitler, it just said that Hitler was a socialist based on the fact that he led something called the National Socialist German Workers Party, and repeatedly referred to himself as a “revolutionary socialist”. He did this to a woman who had him to her house for BBQs with hundreds of people and who sold hundreds of memberships in support of him. Why? It was easier for him to simply disqualify her than let her challenge a sitting MLA in a nomination. 

The list of loyal people that Jason Kenney has used and discarded is long and full of many very talented people. The worst case of this is perhaps the story of Caylan Ford, who Kenney praised as his, “political love at first sight” and who the UCP used in much of their campaign digital and visual messaging. When she encountered a targeted and malicious attack from a bad actor within the conservative movement, he dumped her as a candidate and left her to bleed out under the wrath of the SJW mob. Kenney folds to cancel culture like a cheap house of cards. Just like he bows to Rachel Notley when she calls for more lockdowns.

Alberta conservatives were deceived by one of Canada’s greatest political showmen. He bought a new blue truck, put on a cowboy hat, and sang us a Siren’s song. We don’t have to keep believing him. His actions have shown us who he truly is. 

The mask is dropped. We can now see as clearly as day that the sheep is truly a wolf. 

Guest Column: David Parker was the Regional Organizer for Central Alberta on the 2017 Jason Kenney Leadership Campaign and GOTV Membership Chair of the Wildrose Unity Campaign

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Opinion

SCOTT: Supreme Court injustice allows Ottawa to rule all

“In one fell swoop the Supreme Court of Canada has gutted any meaningful provincial jurisdiction, creating an untenable situation that, if left to stand, will add unbearable tension to the federation.” Mike Scott

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Guest Column from Mike Scott, Reform MP for Skeena, BC from 1993-2000.

The recent Supreme Court decision, which provides legal cover for the Trudeau government’s usurpation of provincial jurisdiction on carbon taxes, should be of immense concern to all Canadians.

In essence, the Supreme Court did not take issue with the argument put forward by three provinces that the federal government’s carbon tax is an intrusion into provincial jurisdiction. 

What the majority on the court did accept is the Liberal government’s argument that such an intrusion is justified under the rubric “Peace Order and Good Government (POGG)”.

On the face of it, this is an astounding conclusion.

POGG was never intended to be a substitute for clear, constitutionally delineated jurisdictions, nor a tool for constitutional monkey wrenching.

This is a clear case of an activist court seeking justification – no matter how thin – to endorse a progressive political agenda.

First, the court is clearly taking sides in a public policy debate and the reasons for judgement underscore this. Public policy arbitration was never intended to be the purview of the court and, by venturing into this highly charged political debate, it is signaling a willingness to take ever more activist positions.

Citizens don’t get to vote for judges – the prime minister appoints – but it is vital to the credibility of the institution that the court remains assiduously neutral. Jurisdictional disputes must be weighed against the metric of the constitution and adjudicated based on longstanding principles of law – jurisprudence – not creative or specious arguments.

Secondly, by accepting the federal government’s “POGG” argument, one can see the door has now been swung wide open for future intrusions. This is the slippery slope the Supreme Court’s decision has set us on. Going forward, all the feds need to do is invoke “POGG” – there will be no judicial recourse for the provinces.

This is exceedingly dangerous for confederation. As the provinces come to understand that their constitutional jurisdictions are trumped by POGG – with the collusion of the high Court – what recourse do they have?

There is already far too much political power concentrated in Ontario and Quebec. Adding the Supreme Court to the list of institutions lined up against the country’s regions is exceedingly provocative. When, on this continuum, do we reach a tipping point?

It is worth quoting the dissenting voice of Supreme Court Justice Russel Brown who brilliantly spells out the ramifications.

“It is not possible for a matter formerly under provincial jurisdiction to be transformed, when minimum national standards are invoked…This would open up any area of provincial jurisdiction to unconstitutional fedreral intrusion once parliament decides to legislate uniform treatment”

Supreme Court Justice Malcolm Rowe, also in dissent, cogently adds; 

“Canada’s proposed doctrinal expansion of national concern should be rejected because it departs in a marked and unjustified way from the jurisprudence of the court and, if adopted, it will provide a broad and open pathway for further incursions into what has been exclusive provincial jurisdiction. (the act) is not an exercise in cooperative federalism; rather, it is the means to enforce supervisory federalism”

The Supreme Court’s willingness to allow POGG as a means to justify abrogating a clear provincial jurisdiction, is a threat to the regions of Canada that is unprecedented. It is an egregious assault on one of the very foundational principles of our constitution – the division of powers between the provinces and the federal government. 

In one fell swoop the Supreme Court of Canada has gutted any meaningful provincial jurisdiction, creating an untenable situation that, if left to stand, will add unbearable tension to the federation.

All provinces – particularly those in the West with significant energy resources – should see the writing on the wall.

Guest Column from Mike Scott, Reform MP for Skeena, BC from 1993-2000.

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Opinion

HARDING: Saskatchewan budget could have been worse

“It should be a disappointing budget for fiscal conservatives, but compared to the plans laid out in Ottawa and Alberta, it could be a lot worse.” – Lee Harding

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As lockdowns return with a vengeance, the backlash in the West is markedly stronger than in the East. Saskatchewan’s crackdown has been a bit lighter than in most provinces, and was the first last year to have a plan for how and when lockdowns would be lifted. While residents of so many provinces are under virtual house arrest, Saskatchewan is not quite so bad. 

That’s the same assessment we can give the budget. It’s the province’s highest deficit ever, but it could be worse.

Finance Minister Donna Harpauer forecasts $14.5 billion in revenues, a 6.1% increase from last fiscal year. Meanwhile, expenditures will rise to $17.1 billion, a 6.3% increase from 2020-21. Although that gap is ‘only’ $2.6 billion, that’s government math at work. In reality, provincial debt will rise by $4.2 billion this fiscal year, bringing the all-time debt total to $27.8 billion. 

COVID-19 lockdowns, of course, are the elephant in the room, shrinking revenues and adding expenses. The budget listed $1.5 billion in spending as “COVID-19 supports.” This includes $90 million more for the health sector response, $20.7 million for Saskatchewan schools, and $6.8 million for the northern isolation program. To call the rest of the list a pandemic response is a bit of a stretch:

  • $488 million in capital spending;
  • $285 million for the SGI rebate;
  • $200 million to clean up inactive oil wells;
  • $174 million in SaskPower rebates;
  • $66 million for the home renovation tax credit;
  • $64 million for the small business tax reduction.

Inactive oil wells have nothing to do with COVID-19, nor does handling them address any pandemic-related problem. The small business tax reduction might be welcome, but businesses that took losses or went bankrupt during the pandemic will not benefit whatsoever. The government is loading its “pandemic response” spend with mostly non-pandemic related items to justify its large deficit. 

On the positive side, capital spending might provide a few jobs, but it would have been required anyway. Home renovations have at least a little relevance, given the lockdowns have given people more reason to spend time there, or even cause to carve out a home office. The tax break will come in handy given that current lumber costs are through the roof (pardon the pun).

Other initiatives are low-key – a little more for this – a little more for that. In this respect, Moe is following in the Brad Wall tradition of a steady-as-she-goes approach where the government refuses to make large promises or grandiose ideas doomed to fail in a bureaucracy’s reverse-Midas touch; one where things turn to lead, not gold, as government gets bigger.

NDP leader Dr. Ryan Meili used terms like “half-measures” and “uninspiring” to describe the budget. He wants a jobs plan and more government money for those affected by the pandemic. The problem is that everyone has been affected by the pandemic. More government responses would only recycle taxpayers’ money through inefficient intrusions. Besides, one could argue that most government responses to the pandemic have been worse than the disease itself. 

Meili’s NDP, some unions, and the media have left some unduly afraid of the coronavirus. This provides a small political alibi for why the province has not lifted the lockdowns altogether. In Montana, Texas, Florida and many other states, gathering limits have vanished altogether, business curfews have stopped, and the mask mandate has expired. In North Dakota, restaurants are allowed 80% capacity, up to 300 people. Ballrooms have 75% capacity. Mask mandates expired in January.

If Saskatchewan acted like these neighbouring border states, it would become a haven of freedom and a place of sensibility in a country full of senseless restrictions. Ask what someone could do in a Saskatchewan springtime, and the answer “normal life” would be enough. Heck, even religious conventions could draw outsiders in to spend money (but maybe not much on liquor). By contrast, Alberta is building fences around churches and sends in the armed police, measures normally reserved for radical theocracies or authoritarian regimes.

Most citizens have a measure of respect for governments that keep their promises, regardless of what they are. By this measure, the Saskatchewan Party delivered, following through on commitments made in last fall’s election. The primary exception is that balanced budgets originally slated for 2024 have been pushed back to 2026-27. 

There is hardly a government on the planet – let alone Canada – that has stuck to a balanced budget plan over more than a four-year term in government. The political discipline just doesn’t exist. Moe might get to it eventually if the NDP remain relatively uncompetitive; maybe.   

It should be a disappointing budget for fiscal conservatives, but compared to the plans laid out in Ottawa and Alberta, it could be a lot worse. 

Lee Harding is the Saskatchewan Political Columnist for the Western Standard

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